Research Paper - Parliament UK

Unemployment by constituency, November 2013 RESEARCH PAPER 13/63 13 November 2013

This paper contains labour market figures for parliamentary constituencies, as well as a summary of the latest national and regional statistics. •

The number of people claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance decreased by 41,700 between September and October 2013 to 1.31 million people aged 18 or over, the lowest level since January 2009.

•

ILO unemployment was 2.47 million in July-September 2013, down 48,000 from the previous quarter and from the previous year. The unemployment rate was 7.6%.

•

The number of people in employment was 29.95 million in July-September 2013, up 177,000 from the previous quarter and up 378,000 from the previous year. The employment rate was 71.8%.

Feargal McGuinness James Mirza Davies David Hough

200

177

150

Change on previous quarter Thousands

100 50 0 -50

-48 -100 Employment Aged 16+

Unemployment Aged 16+

-69 Inactivity Aged 16-64

Recent Research Papers 13/52

Economic Indicators, September 2013

03.09.13

13/53

Citizenship (Armed Forces) Bill [Bill 13 of 2013-14]

11.09.13

13/54

Unemployment by constituency, September 2013

11.09.13

13/55

Gambling (Licensing and Advertising) Bill [Bill 8 of 2013-14]

17.09.13

13/56

Local Audit and Accountability Bill [HL] [Bill 101 of 2013-14]

01.10.13

13/57

Economic Indicators, October 2013

02.10.13

13/58

Unemployment by constituency, October 2013

16.10.13

13/59

Immigration Bill [Bill No 110 of 2013-14]

16.10.13

13/60

National Insurance Contributions Bill [Bill 112 of 2013-14]

01.11.13

13/61

Offender Rehabilitation Bill [Bill 88 of 2013-14]

06.11.13

13/62

Economic Indicators, November 2013

05.11.13

Research Paper 13/63 Contributing Authors:

Feargal McGuinness, Economic Policy and Statistics section James Mirza Davies, Economic Policy and Statistics section David Hough, Economic Policy and Statistics section

This information is provided to Members of Parliament in support of their parliamentary duties and is not intended to address the specific circumstances of any particular individual. It should not be relied upon as being up to date; the law or policies may have changed since it was last updated; and it should not be relied upon as legal or professional advice or as a substitute for it. A suitably qualified professional should be consulted if specific advice or information is required. This information is provided subject to our general terms and conditions which are available online or may be provided on request in hard copy. Authors are available to discuss the content of this briefing with Members and their staff, but not with the general public. We welcome comments on our papers; these should be e-mailed to [email protected]. ISSN 1368-8456

Contents 1

2

3

4

Employment and unemployment – national

1

Claimant Count and unemployment

1

Employment

2

Inactivity

3

Vacancies

3

Earnings

3

Analysis and maps of the JSA claimant count by constituency

4

2.1

Rises and falls for constituencies

4

2.2

Maps

4

2.3

Highest and Lowest claimant rates

9

Key figures for constituencies

10

Table 1: JSA claimants and rates by constituency, alphabetical listing

10

Information about sources, methods and copyright

29

4.1

Sources and copyright

29

4.2

Unemployment rate methodology

29

4.3

Notes and abbreviations

30

Various changes were made to the format of this paper in the February 2013 edition. The paper now includes a single data table instead of two. The denominators used to calculate claimant rates for constituencies were also revised, in line with new data from the 2011 Census. Therefore the rates shown in editions of Unemployment by Constituency from February 2013 onwards are not comparable with those shown in previous editions. Publication Unemployment by Constituency is published every month, on the same day that the Office for National Statistics publishes new data on the labour market (a Wednesday in the middle of the month). The next edition will be published on 18 December 2013. Email alert On the day that new labour market statistics are published, an email alert is sent out to every Member with the latest headline unemployment figures for their constituency. Members’ staff can also sign up for this email – please contact David Hough on x6933 to be added to the list. Requests for further information and feedback For further information or statistics on the labour market, Members and their staff can contact Feargal McGuinness on x4904. If you have any comments or suggestions about Unemployment by Constituency, please contact Feargal McGuinness on x4904.

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

1

Employment and unemployment – national

Statistics on Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA) claimants are one part of a large selection of labour market data released on a monthly basis. 1 This section highlights some of the key national figures in the latest labour market release. Claimant Count and unemployment •

The number of people claiming JSA decreased by 41,700 between September and October 2013, to 1.31 million people aged 18 or over. 2 This is the lowest monthly claimant count since January 2009. There are 266,500 fewer people claiming JSA than in October 2012, a decrease of 16.9%. 3

•

The number of men claiming JSA decreased by 28,000 between September and October 2013, to 849,200. The number of female claimants decreased by 13,700 to 457,200.

•

ILO unemployment was 2.47 million in July-September 2013, down 48,000 from the previous quarter and from the same period last year. 4

•

•

•

1

2

3

4

The unemployment rate was 7.6% (the percentage of the economically active population who are unemployed), down 0.2% points on the previous quarter and on the same period last year. ILO unemployment has been falling more slowly than the claimant count in recent months. The claimant count fell by 104,000 between April-June and July-September 2013 (three month averages), compared to a fall in unemployment of 48,000.

3.0 2.5

Millions of people unemployed UK, seasonally adjusted People available for and looking for work (ILO definition)

2.0 1.5 People claiming Jobseeker's Allowance

1.0 0.5 0.0 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Measuring unemployment: two sets of statistics are used to measure assess the health of the labour market: The claimant count: the number of people claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance. This is the most up to date information and is available for local areas, but can be affected by changes to benefit rules. ILO unemployment: the standard international measure, which includes everyone looking for and available for work, whether or not they are claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance. This is measured using surveys; data for constituencies and local authorities have a time lag and are subject to more sampling variation.

Male unemployment was 1.39 million in July-September 2013, down 54,000 from the previous quarter. 1.08 million women were unemployed, a slight increase on the previous quarter.

The latest labour market release is available from the ONS website. This section is based on data from this release and local labour market statistics from NOMIS. Data in this section are seasonally adjusted. Figures for claimants aged 18+ are seasonally adjusted to remove the effects of changes to the claimant count that tend to happen every year. JSA data for constituencies later in this paper are not seasonally adjusted. Section 2 looks at patterns and trends in the non-seasonally adjusted constituency data. The JSA claimant count excludes a small number of new jobseekers who are claiming Universal Credit rather than Jobseeker’s Allowance. Further details are given in section 4. Much of the data in this section, such as ILO unemployment and employment, are based on estimates from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). As these are liable to sampling variability, small changes in the figures should be interpreted with caution as they may be a result of sampling error. More information on sampling variability is available from table A11 of the labour market statistical section of the ONS website.

1

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

•

965,000 young people aged 16-24 were unemployed in July-September 2013, down 9,000 from the previous quarter and essentially unchanged from the previous year. The unemployment rate for this age group is 21.0%, up from 20.7% last year. This includes 664,000 young people not in full-time education who are unemployed.

•

890,000 people had been unemployed for longer than twelve months at JulySeptember 2013, a fall of 19,000 from the previous quarter and slightly lower than a year ago.

•

458,000 people had been unemployed for longer than two years, 15,000 fewer than the previous quarter but 16,000 more than in the same period last year.

Long term unemployment Millions, UK, seasonally adjusted ILO definition of unemployment

3.0 2.5

Total unemployed

2.0 1.5

Unemployed for at least 12 months

1.0 0.5 0.0 2007

2008

2009

Unemployment by country and region ILO unemployment rates: July-September 2013 North East

10.2%

West Midlands

9.5%

Yorkshire & Humber

8.7%

North West

8.3%

Wales

7.8%

United Kingdom

7.6%

Northern Ireland

7.3%

Scotland

7.2%

East Midlands

7.1%

South West

5.9%

East of England

5.8%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

2012

2013

• On a country and regional basis the unemployment rate was highest in the North East (10.2%) and lowest in the East of England (5.8%) in July-September 2013.

• Employment rose over the quarter in all UK countries and regions with the exception of the North West and West Midlands.

6.4%

South East

2011

• The largest quarterly falls in the unemployment rate were in the East Midlands (down 0.8% points) and East of England (down 0.7% points). In the South West the unemployment rate rose by 0.4% points.

8.9%

London

2010

10%

12%

Employment •

29.95 million people were in employment in July-September 2013, up 177,000 from the previous quarter and 378,000 more than a year ago. The number of people in employment is at its highest level ever.

•

The employment rate (the proportion of the population aged 16-64 in work) was 71.8%, up 0.3% points from the previous quarter. This is the highest rate since the three months to February 2009. It compares to a pre-recession peak of 73.0% in March-May 2008.

•

The number of men in employment increased by 130,000 over the past quarter and 167,000 over the past year, to 16.04 million in July-September 2013. The number of women in employment was 13.91 million, 47,000 more than in the previous quarter and 210,000 more than in the same period last year.

2

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

•

•

21.87 million people were working full-time in July-September 2013, up 157,000 on the previous quarter and 412,000 more than in the same period a year earlier.

Employment, annual change to July-September 2013 +378

Thousands

+210

The number of people working part-time was 8.09 million, a rise of 19,000 on the previous quarter but 34,000 fewer than a year ago. 1.46 million people were working in part-time jobs because they could not find a full-time job, up 24,000 on the previous quarter and 46,000 more than the same period last year.

+412

+167 +155

-34 All people

+12 Men

Full time Part time

+256 -46 Women

•

4.20 million people were self-employed in July-September 2013, an increase of 15,000 on the previous quarter and up slightly on the same period last year. The number of people working as employees was up 148,000 on the previous quarter and up 361,000 on the previous year, at 25.47 million.

•

The number of UK nationals in employment increased by 348,000 over the year to JulySeptember 2013 while employment of non-UK nationals rose by 26,000. The number of people born in the UK who are in employment was 256,000 higher than the year before while there were 112,000 more non-UK born people in employment.

Inactivity •

The number of economically inactive people (not in work and not looking for work) aged 16-64 was 8.92 million in July-September 2013, down 69,000 from the previous quarter and down 149,000 compared to the previous year. The proportion of the population aged 16-64 who were inactive (the inactivity rate) was 22.2%.

•

The number of men aged 16-64 who are inactive fell by 61,000 over the past quarter to 3.28 million. The number of women aged 16-64 who are inactive decreased by 8,000 to 5.64 million.

Vacancies •

There were 545,000 job vacancies in the three months to October 2013, 6,000 more than in the previous quarter and 62,000 higher than a year before.

Earnings •

•

Average weekly total pay in Great Britain rose by 0.7% in July-September 2013 compared with the same period the year before. Bonus pay was up 0.2% while regular pay (which excludes bonuses) rose by 0.8%.

Real average weekly earnings September 2013 prices, adjusted for CPI inflation £575 £550

Including bonuses

£525 £500 £475 £450

Excluding bonuses

Average weekly total pay in the £425 private sector increased by 1.1% £400 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 over this period. In the public sector (including financial services) total pay fell by 0.4%. Regular pay (excluding bonuses) rose by 1.1% in the private sector but fell by 0.1% in the public sector.

3

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

2

Analysis and maps of the JSA claimant count by constituency

Statistics on Jobseeker’s Allowance (JSA) claimants are released monthly for each constituency. Unlike the national figures shown earlier in the paper, these figures are not seasonally adjusted and so reflect changes to the claimant count that tend to happen every year. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the number of people in the UK claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance in October 2013 was 1.27 million, down 56,000 on the previous month. National data taking the seasonal factors into account show that the claimant count fell by 41,700 between September and October, to 1.31 million. 5 The tables in Section 3 show figures for each constituency on this non-seasonally adjusted basis, along with figures for countries and regions (at the end of each of the tables). 2.1

Rises and falls for constituencies

Over the last year, between October 2012 and October 2013, the claimant count decreased in 648 out of 650 constituencies. Over the month to October 2013, the claimant count increased in 27 constituencies (4%) and decreased in 621 constituencies (96%). The chart below shows the balance of constituencies that have experienced an increase or decrease in the claimant count over each month in the past year. Most constituencies saw the claimant count decrease in October 2013 Constituencies with an increase in JSA claimants over previous month minus constituencies with a decrease Not seasonally adjusted 600 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 Oct 12 Nov 12 Dec 12 Jan 13 Feb 13 Mar 13 Apr 13 May 13 Jun 13

2.2

Jul 13

Aug 13 Sep 13 Oct 13

Maps

The following pages contain maps showing how the claimant count varies across the UK. The first map shows the areas which have the highest proportion of economically active people claiming JSA – these include Birmingham and parts of West and South Yorkshire. The second map shows how the number of people claiming JSA in each constituency has changed over the last year. Many areas have seen significant falls in the claimant count over the past year, although in Northern Ireland falls in claimant numbers have been more muted.

5

Figures on the number of claimants of Jobseeker’s Allowance are affected by changes to benefit rules – see Section 4.3 of a discussion of recent changes, which affect (a) lone parents; (b) long-term claimants (especially young people) and (c) some new jobseekers who are receiving Universal Credit rather than Jobseeker’s Allowance.

4

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

2.3

Highest and Lowest claimant rates

The tables show the constituencies ranking highest and lowest in terms of the claimant rate and claimant numbers. Claimant rate

Number of claimants Claimant rate

Number of claimants

1 2 3 4 5

Birmingham, Ladywood Birmingham, Hodge Hill Foyle Belfast West Middlesbrough

15.0% 13.9% 13.6% 13.4% 11.9%

1

1 1

1

1 2

1

1 3

1

1 4

1

1 5

6 7 8 9 10

Belfast North Bradford West Bradford East Liverpool, Walton Wolverhampton South East

11.8% 11.2% 10.3% 10.3% 10.2%

1

1 6

1

1 7

1

1 8

1

1 9

1

1 10

:

:

:

641 642 643 644 645

West Dorset Orkney and Shetland Mid Sussex Kenilworth and Southam North East Hampshire

1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0%

1

1 641

1

1 642

1

1 643

1

1 644

1

1 645

646 647 648 649 650

Stratford-on-Avon Henley Westmorland and Lonsdale Gordon West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7%

1

1 646

1

1 647

1

1 648

1

1 649

1

1 650

Birmingham, Ladywood Leeds Central Birmingham, Hodge Hill Foyle Tottenham

8,261 6,494 6,095 5,915 5,338

Belfast North West Ham Bradford West Belfast West Manchester Central

5,313 5,247 5,162 5,136 5,072

:

:

Derbyshire Dales West Dorset Henley Stratford-on-Avon Na h-Eileanan An Iar

502 478 474 447 429

Kenilworth and Southam Gordon Westmorland and Lonsdale West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Orkney and Shetland

425 400 387 330 255

Claimant rate is calculated as the number of claimants divided by the estimated economically active population aged 16-64.

Claimants aged 18-24

Claims of duration over 12 months Number

Number

1 2 3 4 5

Birmingham, Ladywood Birmingham, Hodge Hill Leeds Central Foyle Bradford West

1,785 1,775 1,665 1,600 1,475

1

1 1

1

1 2

1

1 3

1

1 4

1

1 5

6 7 8 9 10

Bradford East Belfast West Belfast North Middlesbrough Nottingham North

1,450 1,420 1,410 1,375 1,330

1

1 6

1

1 7

1

1 8

1

1 9

1

1 10

110 105 100 100 95

1

1 641

1

Mid Sussex 2 642 Kenilworth and Southam 2 =642 Gordon 1 644 Mid Dorset and North Poole 2 645 West Dorset

90 80 80 75 70

85 85 80 75 65

2

2 =645 Westmorland and Lonsdale

2

1 647

70 65 55 50 50

:

:

641 642 643 =643 645

Mole Valley Gordon Ross, Skye and Lochaber Kenilworth and Southam Stratford-on-Avon

646 =646 648 649 650

Henley Westmorland and Lonsdale West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Na h-Eileanan An Iar Orkney and Shetland

:

: 1 2 2

Birmingham, Ladywood Leeds Central Birmingham, Hodge Hill Foyle Middlesbrough

3,340 2,360 2,275 2,120 2,075

Belfast West Bradford West Belfast North Birmingham, Perry Barr Kingston upon Hull North

2,030 1,930 1,865 1,855 1,835

:

North East Hampshire 1 648 Orkney and Shetland 2 649 Stratford-on-Avon 2 =649 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

1 1 1

Figures for claimants aged 18-24 and claims of duration over 12 months are rounded to the nearest five.

9

:

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Aberavon Aberconwy Aberdeen North Aberdeen South Airdrie and Shotts

W W S S S

1,482 989 1,375 841 2,756

-206 -70 -566 -253 -358

-12.2 -6.6 -29.2 -23.1 -11.5

5.0% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6% 6.9%

196 302 429 598 75

505 265 275 160 725

-125 -25 -160 -80 -165

-19.8 -8.6 -36.8 -33.3 -18.5

230 195 245 170 445

10 10 -70 -35 -15

4.5 5.4 -22.2 -17.1 -3.3

345 255 265 160 950

30 -5 -205 -60 -30

9.5 -1.9 -43.6 -27.3 -3.1

Aldershot Aldridge-Brownhills Altrincham and Sale West Alyn and Deeside Amber Valley

E E E W E

1,234 1,326 1,200 1,458 1,216

-398 -302 -204 -107 -605

-24.4 -18.6 -14.5 -6.8 -33.2

2.1% 3.6% 2.5% 3.4% 2.7%

514 332 466 343 424

320 360 330 375 350

-110 -160 -75 -80 -185

-25.6 -30.8 -18.5 -17.6 -34.6

255 255 255 260 220

-55 -20 -5 15 -100

-17.7 -7.3 -1.9 6.1 -31.3

260 435 305 350 365

-80 -25 35 -25 -110

-23.5 -5.4 13.0 -6.7 -23.2

Angus Arfon Argyll and Bute Arundel and South Downs Ashfield

S W S E E

1,361 1,230 1,421 568 1,977

-417 -118 -309 -180 -605

-23.5 -8.8 -17.9 -24.1 -23.4

3.4% 4.4% 3.2% 1.2% 4.0%

354 246 372 633 288

390 340 305 140 635

-155 -80 -150 -50 -255

-28.4 -19.0 -33.0 -26.3 -28.7

270 240 360 150 335

-30 45 -55 -40 -60

-10.0 23.1 -13.3 -21.1 -15.2

365 395 460 110 675

-65 30 -55 -40 -10

-15.1 8.2 -10.7 -26.7 -1.5

Ashford Ashton-under-Lyne Aylesbury Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Banbury

E E E S E

1,525 2,126 1,153 2,732 875

-406 -979 -337 -344 -266

-21.0 -31.5 -22.6 -11.2 -23.3

2.7% 4.8% 2.0% 6.4% 1.4%

432 209 536 97 619

400 465 265 730 245

-160 -525 -100 -200 -25

-28.6 -53.0 -27.4 -21.5 -9.3

275 370 250 450 150

-25 -70 -20 0 -35

-8.3 -15.9 -7.4 0.0 -18.9

430 760 250 920 155

15 20 -45 45 -80

3.6 2.7 -15.3 5.1 -34.0

Banff and Buchan Barking Barnsley Central Barnsley East Barrow and Furness

S E E E E

765 3,720 2,501 2,529 1,608

-281 -994 -460 -580 -454

-26.9 -21.1 -15.5 -18.7 -22.0

1.7% 6.7% 5.9% 5.9% 3.7%

573 83 122 126 308

190 930 700 720 520

-125 -270 -220 -270 -200

-39.7 -22.5 -23.9 -27.3 -27.8

145 640 395 405 230

0 -30 -5 -25 -40

0.0 -4.5 -1.3 -5.8 -14.8

180 1,175 925 935 555

-75 -225 80 25 -10

-29.4 -16.1 9.5 2.7 -1.8

Basildon and Billericay Basingstoke Bassetlaw Bath Batley and Spen

E E E E E

2,043 1,388 1,879 1,117 2,687

-240 -374 -305 -259 -496

-10.5 -21.2 -14.0 -18.8 -15.6

4.6% 2.3% 3.7% 2.6% 5.1%

222 491 316 450 187

560 360 605 310 830

-130 -70 -130 -95 -200

-18.8 -16.3 -17.7 -23.5 -19.4

340 265 295 200 420

-25 -55 -5 -20 -65

-6.8 -17.2 -1.7 -9.1 -13.4

630 235 555 300 845

-5 -110 40 -70 125

-0.8 -31.9 7.8 -18.9 17.4

Battersea Beaconsfield Beckenham Bedford Belfast East

E E E E N

2,054 708 805 2,888 2,988

-303 -226 -310 -592 4

-12.9 -24.2 -27.8 -17.0 0.1

3.0% 1.4% 1.8% 5.7% 6.6%

400 614 560 141 88

365 160 175 680 815

-95 -70 -80 -250 -45

-20.7 -30.4 -31.4 -26.9 -5.2

425 175 165 555 520

0 -55 -70 -10 50

0.0 -23.9 -29.8 -1.8 10.6

690 150 215 945 985

-105 -25 -80 -110 190

-13.2 -14.3 -27.1 -10.4 23.9

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 10

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Belfast North Belfast South Belfast West Bermondsey and Old Southwark Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

N N N E S

5,313 3,226 5,136 3,753 1,504

-198 -184 -491 -747 -229

-3.6 -5.4 -8.7 -16.6 -13.2

11.8% 5.5% 13.4% 5.0% 3.1%

6 157 4 192 385

1,410 835 1,420 700 425

-95 -105 -295 -275 -140

-6.3 -11.2 -17.2 -28.2 -24.8

900 470 920 740 305

75 10 40 -30 10

9.1 2.2 4.5 -3.9 3.4

1,865 1,065 2,030 1,310 435

395 290 445 -75 -20

26.9 37.4 28.1 -5.4 -4.4

Berwick-upon-Tweed Bethnal Green and Bow Beverley and Holderness Bexhill and Battle Bexleyheath and Crayford

E E E E E

1,074 4,408 1,500 1,025 1,365

-317 -1,140 -496 -317 -388

-22.8 -20.5 -24.8 -23.6 -22.1

3.0% 6.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.1%

398 84 392 477 390

275 1,020 460 275 375

-120 -410 -200 -80 -135

-30.4 -28.7 -30.3 -22.5 -26.5

220 825 300 225 220

-65 -85 -50 -50 -70

-22.8 -9.3 -14.3 -18.2 -24.1

350 1,530 460 275 390

15 -295 -70 -75 -80

4.5 -16.2 -13.2 -21.4 -17.0

Birkenhead Birmingham, Edgbaston Birmingham, Erdington Birmingham, Hall Green Birmingham, Hodge Hill

E E E E E

2,735 3,446 4,475 4,622 6,095

-630 -580 -588 -675 -961

-18.7 -14.4 -11.6 -12.7 -13.6

6.7% 7.5% 9.9% 9.6% 13.9%

81 53 13 17 2

820 805 1,095 1,205 1,775

-250 -205 -350 -340 -505

-23.4 -20.3 -24.2 -22.0 -22.1

440 615 865 690 830

-10 -40 35 -15 -35

-2.2 -6.1 4.2 -2.1 -4.0

800 1,295 1,740 1,645 2,275

-140 -95 -40 15 -45

-14.9 -6.8 -2.2 0.9 -1.9

Birmingham, Ladywood Birmingham, Northfield Birmingham, Perry Barr Birmingham, Selly Oak Birmingham, Yardley

E E E E E

8,261 3,630 4,790 2,799 3,756

-769 -782 -553 -588 -757

-8.5 -17.7 -10.3 -17.4 -16.8

15.0% 7.6% 9.8% 5.8% 7.8%

1 51 14 128 48

1,785 1,005 1,160 775 895

-330 -355 -255 -320 -340

-15.6 -26.1 -18.0 -29.2 -27.5

1,285 590 780 475 665

30 -80 -35 -55 -25

2.4 -11.9 -4.3 -10.4 -3.6

3,340 1,405 1,855 945 1,350

-15 -185 40 -115 -130

-0.4 -11.6 2.2 -10.8 -8.8

Bishop Auckland Blackburn Blackley and Broughton Blackpool North and Cleveleys Blackpool South

E E E E E

2,349 2,832 4,400 2,029 2,787

-592 -629 -427 -467 -619

-20.1 -18.2 -8.8 -18.7 -18.2

5.8% 6.3% 9.3% 5.3% 7.3%

136 103 22 168 60

705 785 1,145 460 645

-260 -255 -190 -165 -215

-26.9 -24.5 -14.2 -26.4 -25.0

425 420 620 365 520

-35 -70 10 -60 -55

-7.6 -14.3 1.6 -14.1 -9.6

920 760 1,320 655 915

20 -120 35 -85 -50

2.2 -13.6 2.7 -11.5 -5.2

Blaenau Gwent Blaydon Blyth Valley Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Bolsover

W E E E E

2,805 1,766 2,217 1,290 1,641

-661 -558 -597 -501 -297

-19.1 -24.0 -21.2 -28.0 -15.3

8.9% 4.1% 5.4% 2.8% 3.6%

28 279 160 420 326

900 480 685 300 520

-260 -215 -195 -150 -100

-22.4 -30.9 -22.2 -33.3 -16.1

400 335 350 300 230

-50 -45 -90 -80 -65

-11.1 -11.8 -20.5 -21.1 -22.0

1,170 525 845 330 455

-30 -70 -25 -110 -85

-2.5 -11.8 -2.9 -25.0 -15.7

Bolton North East Bolton South East Bolton West Bootle Boston and Skegness

E E E E E

3,012 3,352 1,738 4,025 1,928

-246 -359 -287 -1,094 -327

-7.6 -9.7 -14.2 -21.4 -14.5

6.7% 7.2% 3.6% 8.5% 4.1%

77 61 327 31 274

750 865 470 1,095 555

-150 -205 -90 -420 -150

-16.7 -19.2 -16.1 -27.7 -21.3

505 550 300 695 325

10 55 -5 -65 -50

2.0 11.1 -1.6 -8.6 -13.3

875 1,025 455 1,580 590

40 20 -30 -235 15

4.8 2.0 -6.2 -12.9 2.6

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 11

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Bosworth Bournemouth East Bournemouth West Bracknell Bradford East

E E E E E

1,239 1,726 1,542 1,177 5,021

-285 -267 -216 -307 -489

-18.7 -13.4 -12.3 -20.7 -8.9

2.4% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 10.3%

470 364 384 528 8

360 380 350 230 1,450

-110 -25 -80 -125 -165

-23.4 -6.2 -18.6 -35.2 -10.2

225 320 325 265 700

-40 -60 0 -30 -10

-15.1 -15.8 0.0 -10.2 -1.4

345 420 340 280 1,780

-20 -15 -10 -40 95

-5.5 -3.4 -2.9 -12.5 5.6

Bradford South Bradford West Braintree Brecon and Radnorshire Brent Central

E E E W E

3,505 5,162 1,207 671 4,892

-458 -421 -335 -336 -852

-11.6 -7.5 -21.7 -33.4 -14.8

7.2% 11.2% 2.4% 2.1% 7.1%

62 7 476 515 71

985 1,475 350 210 860

-190 -215 -85 -85 -245

-16.2 -12.7 -19.5 -28.8 -22.2

520 705 240 125 995

-25 15 -30 -65 15

-4.6 2.2 -11.1 -34.2 1.5

1,255 1,930 315 190 1,690

65 330 -40 -55 -35

5.5 20.6 -11.3 -22.4 -2.0

Brent North Brentford and Isleworth Brentwood and Ongar Bridgend Bridgwater and West Somerset

E E E W E

2,188 2,003 944 1,421 1,593

-381 -246 -166 -429 -153

-14.8 -10.9 -15.0 -23.2 -8.8

3.4% 2.8% 2.1% 3.8% 3.1%

350 412 525 303 382

460 425 255 385 495

-115 -55 -60 -175 -5

-20.0 -11.5 -19.0 -31.3 -1.0

445 375 200 250 280

0 10 -15 -30 -45

0.0 2.7 -7.0 -10.7 -13.8

575 485 210 380 375

15 -20 -40 -25 -5

2.7 -4.0 -16.0 -6.2 -1.3

Brigg and Goole Brighton, Kemptown Brighton, Pavilion Bristol East Bristol North West

E E E E E

1,451 1,744 1,673 2,173 1,896

-534 -486 -460 -501 -536

-26.9 -21.8 -21.6 -18.7 -22.0

3.3% 3.9% 2.9% 4.4% 3.9%

359 295 409 244 289

435 455 430 525 560

-200 -190 -145 -175 -180

-31.5 -29.5 -25.2 -25.0 -24.3

280 290 255 350 310

-40 -80 -25 -35 -70

-12.5 -21.6 -8.9 -9.1 -18.4

455 445 380 610 510

-140 -110 -60 -205 -195

-23.5 -19.8 -13.6 -25.2 -27.7

Bristol South Bristol West Broadland Bromley and Chislehurst Bromsgrove

E E E E E

2,307 3,333 858 1,378 1,017

-853 -811 -180 -408 -296

-27.0 -19.6 -17.3 -22.8 -22.5

4.2% 4.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.2%

265 205 556 383 506

625 705 280 295 305

-270 -280 -85 -125 -120

-30.2 -28.4 -23.3 -29.8 -28.2

365 490 160 275 210

-95 -40 -25 -35 -50

-20.7 -7.5 -13.5 -11.3 -19.2

720 950 220 450 275

-225 -250 -10 -45 15

-23.8 -20.8 -4.3 -9.1 5.8

Broxbourne Broxtowe Buckingham Burnley Burton

E E E E E

1,590 1,404 568 2,127 1,248

-347 -325 -181 -629 -470

-17.9 -18.8 -24.2 -22.8 -27.4

3.2% 2.9% 1.1% 5.2% 2.4%

375 406 639 181 471

355 440 125 660 350

-150 -100 -60 -195 -165

-29.7 -18.5 -32.4 -22.8 -32.0

300 240 155 350 230

-45 -40 -5 -85 -50

-13.0 -14.3 -3.1 -19.5 -17.9

490 400 120 690 275

-10 -55 -10 -55 -80

-2.0 -12.1 -7.7 -7.4 -22.5

Bury North Bury South Bury St Edmunds Caerphilly Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

E E E W S

1,865 2,141 1,095 2,277 962

-336 -487 -369 -438 -299

-15.3 -18.5 -25.2 -16.1 -23.7

4.3% 4.4% 1.9% 5.6% 3.4%

255 240 554 150 351

515 595 305 710 245

-115 -210 -155 -185 -120

-18.3 -26.1 -33.7 -20.7 -32.9

315 380 210 345 205

-15 0 -55 -35 -55

-4.5 0.0 -20.8 -9.2 -21.2

415 500 275 780 330

-105 -115 -50 -60 -45

-20.2 -18.7 -15.4 -7.1 -12.0

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 12

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Calder Valley Camberwell and Peckham Camborne and Redruth Cambridge Cannock Chase

E E E E E

1,727 4,480 1,301 1,265 1,510

-539 -1,135 -391 -343 -736

-23.8 -20.2 -23.1 -21.3 -32.8

3.2% 6.7% 3.3% 2.2% 3.0%

368 78 360 498 397

495 830 335 265 410

-155 -335 -165 -130 -300

-23.8 -28.8 -33.0 -32.9 -42.3

300 905 235 240 270

-95 -90 -70 -45 -85

-24.1 -9.0 -23.0 -15.8 -23.9

565 1,640 395 320 495

-30 -250 -20 -75 -135

-5.0 -13.2 -4.8 -19.0 -21.4

Canterbury Cardiff Central Cardiff North Cardiff South and Penarth Cardiff West

E W W W W

1,267 2,462 1,245 3,127 2,664

-259 -319 -287 -637 -375

-17.0 -11.5 -18.7 -16.9 -12.3

2.5% 5.8% 2.8% 5.8% 6.0%

456 135 413 132 120

380 620 340 750 770

-95 -155 -140 -290 -170

-20.0 -20.0 -29.2 -27.9 -18.1

220 340 235 515 390

-5 10 -5 -5 0

-2.2 3.0 -2.1 -1.0 0.0

255 720 345 975 840

-50 -40 -60 15 25

-16.4 -5.3 -14.8 1.6 3.1

Carlisle Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Carshalton and Wallington Castle Point

E W W E E

1,303 925 1,300 1,603 1,238

-550 -261 -18 -438 -288

-29.7 -22.0 -1.4 -21.5 -18.9

2.9% 2.9% 3.7% 3.2% 2.9%

404 403 311 373 405

335 300 345 375 410

-230 -95 -45 -155 -115

-40.7 -24.1 -11.5 -29.2 -21.9

215 190 255 315 190

-60 -20 35 -50 -55

-21.8 -9.5 15.9 -13.7 -22.4

400 310 325 515 300

-35 15 35 -50 -25

-8.0 5.1 12.1 -8.8 -7.7

Central Ayrshire Central Devon Central Suffolk and North Ipswich Ceredigion Charnwood

S E E W E

2,225 715 928 756 871

-433 -245 -291 -152 -301

-16.3 -25.5 -23.9 -16.7 -25.7

5.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8%

176 580 545 490 563

605 170 250 230 240

-190 -100 -145 -80 -105

-23.9 -37.0 -36.7 -25.8 -30.4

425 180 175 175 185

0 -10 -25 5 -20

0.0 -5.3 -12.5 2.9 -9.8

705 165 290 215 205

-30 -75 -50 -10 -35

-4.1 -31.3 -14.7 -4.4 -14.6

Chatham and Aylesford Cheadle Chelmsford Chelsea and Fulham Cheltenham

E E E E E

2,122 929 1,626 1,531 1,732

-599 -206 -373 -168 -516

-22.0 -18.1 -18.7 -9.9 -23.0

4.2% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 3.1%

262 519 411 448 387

615 240 465 240 415

-185 -75 -115 -20 -210

-23.1 -23.8 -19.8 -7.7 -33.6

335 225 315 320 360

-75 -10 -55 -5 -40

-18.3 -4.3 -14.9 -1.5 -10.0

680 180 420 470 480

-160 -45 -110 -40 -125

-19.0 -20.0 -20.8 -7.8 -20.7

Chesham and Amersham Chesterfield Chichester Chingford and Woodford Green Chippenham

E E E E E

726 1,875 954 1,730 1,035

-194 -516 -292 -389 -284

-21.1 -21.6 -23.4 -18.4 -21.5

1.6% 4.1% 2.0% 3.9% 2.1%

584 271 541 293 518

190 675 225 460 340

-45 -115 -85 -125 -65

-19.1 -14.6 -27.4 -21.4 -16.0

175 295 215 320 185

-25 -70 -45 -40 -40

-12.5 -19.2 -17.3 -11.1 -17.8

180 620 255 600 230

-15 -85 -25 -35 -50

-7.7 -12.1 -8.9 -5.5 -17.9

Chipping Barnet Chorley Christchurch Cities of London and Westminster City of Chester

E E E E E

1,650 1,343 567 1,773 1,305

-460 -366 -107 -252 -474

-21.8 -21.4 -15.9 -12.4 -26.6

2.9% 2.7% 1.6% 2.9% 2.7%

401 428 586 407 423

350 380 155 255 360

-145 -145 -40 -90 -100

-29.3 -27.6 -20.5 -26.1 -21.7

315 230 125 410 225

-35 -20 -20 0 -60

-10.0 -8.0 -13.8 0.0 -21.1

480 315 135 645 260

-85 -25 30 15 -100

-15.0 -7.4 28.6 2.4 -27.8

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 13

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

City of Durham Clacton Cleethorpes Clwyd South Clwyd West

E E E W W

1,539 1,818 2,026 1,521 1,453

-540 -421 -336 -193 -204

-26.0 -18.8 -14.2 -11.3 -12.3

3.6% 5.6% 4.5% 4.3% 4.4%

328 145 237 249 238

455 510 615 440 385

-190 -135 -160 -75 -60

-29.5 -20.9 -20.6 -14.6 -13.5

275 365 380 260 305

-75 -35 5 -5 5

-21.4 -8.8 1.3 -1.9 1.7

585 515 600 420 455

-45 -120 -25 5 15

-7.1 -18.9 -4.0 1.2 3.4

Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Colchester Colne Valley Congleton Copeland

S E E E E

2,556 1,948 2,085 969 1,214

-472 -513 -614 -268 -421

-15.6 -20.8 -22.7 -21.7 -25.7

5.7% 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 3.1%

140 348 305 513 393

700 540 550 285 405

-185 -215 -265 -65 -205

-20.9 -28.5 -32.5 -18.6 -33.6

440 285 335 205 230

-15 -40 -105 -40 -15

-3.3 -12.3 -23.9 -16.3 -6.1

855 585 690 235 445

-35 -170 -65 -40 -60

-3.9 -22.5 -8.6 -14.5 -11.9

Corby Coventry North East Coventry North West Coventry South Crawley

E E E E E

1,864 3,441 2,267 2,475 1,473

-732 -601 -353 -379 -576

-28.2 -14.9 -13.5 -13.3 -28.1

3.3% 6.6% 4.5% 5.2% 2.5%

361 91 227 183 458

510 840 600 645 285

-230 -230 -125 -140 -190

-31.1 -21.5 -17.2 -17.8 -40.0

355 525 360 390 290

-85 -5 -20 -5 -65

-19.3 -0.9 -5.3 -1.3 -18.3

440 1,040 620 690 325

-70 -160 -85 -100 -125

-13.7 -13.3 -12.1 -12.7 -27.8

Crewe and Nantwich Croydon Central Croydon North Croydon South Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East

E E E E S

1,861 2,468 3,937 1,439 1,733

-401 -701 -1,120 -633 -629

-17.7 -22.1 -22.1 -30.6 -26.6

3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 2.5% 4.1%

342 261 138 465 280

560 570 815 325 460

-135 -315 -400 -235 -215

-19.4 -35.6 -32.9 -42.0 -31.9

350 450 730 290 325

-20 -45 -85 -90 -20

-5.4 -9.1 -10.4 -23.7 -5.8

545 700 1,185 375 500

-75 -175 -285 -100 -195

-12.1 -20.0 -19.4 -21.1 -28.1

Cynon Valley Dagenham and Rainham Darlington Dartford Daventry

W E E E E

2,001 2,619 2,791 1,457 988

-424 -882 -612 -342 -302

-17.5 -25.2 -18.0 -19.0 -23.4

6.6% 5.4% 6.2% 2.7% 2.1%

92 164 107 439 523

725 695 760 405 270

-170 -255 -230 -115 -70

-19.0 -26.8 -23.2 -22.1 -20.6

245 435 470 255 210

-40 -70 -50 -50 -65

-14.0 -13.9 -9.6 -16.4 -23.6

610 875 975 380 255

-75 -175 25 -60 30

-10.9 -16.7 2.6 -13.6 13.3

Delyn Denton and Reddish Derby North Derby South Derbyshire Dales

W E E E E

1,234 1,983 1,721 3,759 502

-187 -588 -803 -1,333 -257

-13.2 -22.9 -31.8 -26.2 -33.9

3.6% 4.5% 3.4% 7.4% 1.3%

323 234 345 58 625

370 530 490 1,035 130

-60 -235 -250 -405 -75

-14.0 -30.7 -33.8 -28.1 -36.6

245 335 280 540 115

5 -50 -90 -130 -80

2.1 -13.0 -24.3 -19.4 -41.0

360 565 540 1,265 130

-5 -65 -95 -70 -45

-1.4 -10.3 -15.0 -5.2 -25.7

Devizes Dewsbury Don Valley Doncaster Central Doncaster North

E E E E E

840 2,510 2,257 3,459 2,774

-154 -339 -434 -675 -636

-15.5 -11.9 -16.1 -16.3 -18.7

1.6% 4.9% 4.9% 6.6% 5.9%

583 206 204 87 121

240 810 680 895 875

-65 -145 -230 -340 -255

-21.3 -15.2 -25.3 -27.5 -22.6

160 340 390 580 450

-30 -50 0 -15 -20

-15.8 -12.8 0.0 -2.5 -4.3

185 745 685 1,165 925

-5 135 -35 20 -30

-2.6 22.1 -4.9 1.7 -3.1

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 14

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Dover Dudley North Dudley South Dulwich and West Norwood Dumfries and Galloway

E E E E S

1,874 2,717 2,382 3,328 1,824

-479 -354 -395 -717 -374

-20.4 -11.5 -14.2 -17.7 -17.0

4.1% 7.2% 6.1% 5.4% 4.1%

281 66 113 165 272

500 815 715 570 485

-180 -115 -150 -190 -150

-26.5 -12.4 -17.3 -25.0 -23.6

370 480 350 680 325

-85 -15 -40 -35 -25

-18.7 -3.0 -10.3 -4.9 -7.1

575 1,080 890 1,275 600

35 -25 -95 -100 -35

6.5 -2.3 -9.6 -7.3 -5.5

Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Dundee East Dundee West Dunfermline and West Fife Dwyfor Meirionnydd

S S S S W

1,324 1,863 2,848 2,185 737

-196 -466 -621 -240 -175

-12.9 -20.0 -17.9 -9.9 -19.2

3.1% 4.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.7%

380 241 73 257 430

355 420 715 565 155

-90 -210 -285 -135 -75

-20.2 -33.3 -28.5 -19.3 -32.6

270 320 490 410 170

-25 -30 -50 25 -5

-8.5 -8.6 -9.3 6.5 -2.9

445 695 1,090 630 235

-10 -120 -145 -105 35

-2.2 -14.7 -11.7 -14.3 17.5

Ealing Central and Acton Ealing North Ealing, Southall Easington East Antrim

E E E E N

2,474 2,653 2,523 2,730 2,388

-426 -316 -309 -714 -166

-14.7 -10.6 -10.9 -20.7 -6.5

3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 7.2% 5.4%

313 247 186 63 163

375 560 515 950 705

-80 -95 -125 -275 -100

-17.6 -14.5 -19.5 -22.4 -12.4

470 490 405 380 450

-10 -30 -45 -50 0

-2.1 -5.8 -10.0 -11.6 0.0

760 735 665 985 605

-75 -70 -125 55 130

-9.0 -8.7 -15.8 5.9 27.4

East Devon East Dunbartonshire East Ham East Hampshire East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow

E S E E S

567 758 3,952 666 1,930

-256 -238 -1,057 -167 -359

-31.1 -23.9 -21.1 -20.0 -15.7

1.3% 1.9% 5.6% 1.4% 3.7%

626 555 146 618 307

120 225 860 180 525

-105 -80 -285 -60 -160

-46.7 -26.2 -24.9 -25.0 -23.4

120 165 730 150 415

-35 -15 -105 -20 -10

-22.6 -8.3 -12.6 -11.8 -2.4

115 195 1,245 145 535

-50 -20 -180 20 -50

-30.3 -9.3 -12.6 16.0 -8.5

East Londonderry East Lothian East Renfrewshire East Surrey East Worthing and Shoreham

N S S E E

3,454 1,565 992 874 1,076

-144 -354 -290 -282 -418

-4.0 -18.4 -22.6 -24.4 -28.0

7.7% 3.1% 2.2% 1.6% 2.3%

50 379 503 588 494

945 440 285 195 295

-90 -125 -90 -80 -145

-8.7 -22.1 -24.0 -29.1 -33.0

575 280 190 210 215

20 -40 -40 -65 -50

3.6 -12.5 -17.4 -23.6 -18.9

1,025 410 240 200 255

180 0 -50 5 -110

21.3 0.0 -17.2 2.6 -30.1

East Yorkshire Eastbourne Eastleigh Eddisbury Edinburgh East

E E E E S

1,812 1,855 884 996 2,257

-400 -297 -408 -434 -442

-18.1 -13.8 -31.6 -30.3 -16.4

3.9% 3.7% 1.6% 2.4% 4.2%

292 309 597 474 258

500 470 210 300 485

-135 -80 -135 -115 -120

-21.3 -14.5 -39.1 -27.7 -19.8

365 405 180 195 390

-55 -30 -70 -60 -20

-13.1 -6.9 -28.0 -23.5 -4.9

690 555 195 230 665

-30 -15 -80 -150 -30

-4.2 -2.6 -29.1 -39.5 -4.3

Edinburgh North and Leith Edinburgh South Edinburgh South West Edinburgh West Edmonton

S S S S E

2,397 1,207 1,989 1,280 3,925

-505 -216 -405 -331 -774

-17.4 -15.2 -16.9 -20.5 -16.5

3.6% 2.5% 3.4% 2.7% 7.9%

335 463 355 440 46

450 290 480 300 945

-150 -75 -145 -120 -195

-25.0 -20.5 -23.2 -28.6 -17.1

430 205 345 245 660

-30 -15 -40 -25 -40

-6.5 -6.8 -10.4 -9.3 -5.7

690 310 540 355 1,330

-75 -35 -100 -35 -200

-9.8 -10.1 -15.6 -9.0 -13.1

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 15

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Ellesmere Port and Neston Elmet and Rothwell Eltham Enfield North Enfield, Southgate

E E E E E

1,584 979 1,815 2,693 1,709

-526 -295 -516 -745 -305

-24.9 -23.2 -22.1 -21.7 -15.1

3.6% 2.0% 4.1% 5.5% 3.4%

321 535 275 158 344

455 300 485 640 385

-160 -75 -150 -230 -115

-26.0 -20.0 -23.6 -26.4 -23.0

275 185 320 430 330

-80 -65 -75 -60 -10

-22.5 -26.0 -19.0 -12.2 -2.9

395 220 545 975 455

-165 -65 -85 -75 -45

-29.5 -22.8 -13.5 -7.1 -9.0

Epping Forest Epsom and Ewell Erewash Erith and Thamesmead Esher and Walton

E E E E E

1,523 778 1,957 2,816 688

-271 -331 -665 -663 -266

-15.1 -29.8 -25.4 -19.1 -27.9

3.2% 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 1.3%

374 609 285 177 629

355 155 600 575 125

-130 -95 -255 -260 -85

-26.8 -38.0 -29.8 -31.1 -40.5

305 165 335 530 170

0 -60 -70 -25 -15

0.0 -26.7 -17.3 -4.5 -8.1

430 195 635 905 155

-55 -5 -115 -140 -35

-11.3 -2.5 -15.3 -13.4 -18.4

Exeter Falkirk Fareham Faversham and Mid Kent Feltham and Heston

E S E E E

1,366 2,518 772 1,141 2,298

-527 -425 -393 -273 -421

-27.8 -14.4 -33.7 -19.3 -15.5

2.6% 4.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.6%

453 235 604 462 330

340 620 225 335 570

-170 -160 -130 -70 -125

-33.3 -20.5 -36.6 -17.3 -18.0

240 480 145 220 395

-65 -25 -70 -60 0

-21.3 -5.0 -32.6 -21.4 0.0

350 880 155 315 545

-130 20 -90 -70 -40

-27.1 2.3 -36.7 -18.2 -6.8

Fermanagh & South Tyrone Filton and Bradley Stoke Finchley and Golders Green Folkestone and Hythe Forest of Dean

N E E E E

2,995 984 1,926 2,172 1,103

-74 -341 -285 -498 -246

-2.4 -25.7 -12.9 -18.7 -18.2

6.1% 2.0% 3.2% 4.1% 2.6%

110 539 376 268 443

660 270 300 540 350

-140 -135 -70 -170 -80

-17.5 -33.3 -18.9 -23.9 -18.6

620 160 355 480 205

60 -30 -5 -40 -25

10.7 -15.8 -1.4 -7.7 -10.9

780 225 530 705 315

0 -90 -70 -50 -70

0.0 -28.6 -11.7 -6.6 -18.2

Foyle Fylde Gainsborough Garston and Halewood Gateshead

N E E E E

5,915 994 1,801 3,085 3,312

1 -29 -165 -510 -679

0.0 -2.8 -8.4 -14.2 -17.0

13.6% 2.6% 4.1% 6.7% 7.2%

3 449 270 85 67

1,600 265 580 920 910

-155 -30 -85 -205 -230

-8.8 -10.2 -12.8 -18.2 -20.2

905 225 320 535 540

145 40 15 -10 -50

19.1 21.6 4.9 -1.8 -8.5

2,120 230 575 1,025 1,065

440 0 25 -5 -110

26.2 0.0 4.5 -0.5 -9.4

Gedling Gillingham and Rainham Glasgow Central Glasgow East Glasgow North

E E S S S

1,695 1,819 2,869 2,984 1,986

-431 -522 -660 -695 -405

-20.3 -22.3 -18.7 -18.9 -16.9

3.6% 3.6% 6.7% 8.2% 5.3%

336 322 79 37 173

495 545 555 735 425

-170 -190 -255 -275 -180

-25.6 -25.9 -31.5 -27.2 -29.8

295 290 490 510 350

-60 -50 -45 -60 -10

-16.9 -14.7 -8.4 -10.5 -2.8

545 495 910 980 635

-55 -195 -80 -90 -60

-9.2 -28.3 -8.1 -8.4 -8.6

Glasgow North East Glasgow North West Glasgow South Glasgow South West Glenrothes

S S S S S

3,414 2,549 2,226 3,136 2,464

-696 -663 -551 -506 -638

-16.9 -20.6 -19.8 -13.9 -20.6

9.2% 6.2% 4.8% 8.4% 5.6%

24 105 207 33 148

865 600 555 745 715

-225 -210 -165 -195 -265

-20.6 -25.9 -22.9 -20.7 -27.0

570 415 400 525 430

-30 -90 -55 -50 -30

-5.0 -17.8 -12.1 -8.7 -6.5

1,285 835 650 1,095 770

-35 -155 -140 15 -190

-2.7 -15.7 -17.7 1.4 -19.8

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 16

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Gloucester Gordon Gosport Gower Grantham and Stamford

E S E W E

2,607 400 1,266 877 1,485

-455 -114 -403 -208 -348

-14.9 -22.2 -24.1 -19.2 -19.0

4.4% 0.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.8%

239 649 446 468 415

665 105 410 275 435

-140 -20 -160 -65 -95

-17.4 -16.0 -28.1 -19.1 -17.9

460 85 205 145 280

5 -30 -25 -15 -45

1.1 -26.1 -10.9 -9.4 -13.8

805 80 285 140 375

-50 -25 -125 -35 10

-5.8 -23.8 -30.5 -20.0 2.7

Gravesham Great Grimsby Great Yarmouth Greenwich and Woolwich Guildford

E E E E E

2,038 3,702 2,792 2,967 832

-531 -584 -666 -715 -388

-20.7 -13.6 -19.3 -19.4 -31.8

4.0% 8.6% 6.3% 4.9% 1.5%

286 30 101 199 600

575 1,010 845 560 160

-185 -150 -215 -245 -90

-24.3 -12.9 -20.3 -30.4 -36.0

335 550 490 555 190

-85 -90 -95 -25 -55

-20.2 -14.1 -16.2 -4.3 -22.4

525 1,275 1,040 985 190

-175 -155 -35 -155 -80

-25.0 -10.8 -3.3 -13.6 -29.6

Hackney North and Stoke Newington Hackney South and Shoreditch Halesowen and Rowley Regis Halifax Haltemprice and Howden

E E E E E

3,945 4,440 2,295 3,591 1,000

-756 -1,068 -496 -687 -208

-16.1 -19.4 -17.8 -16.1 -17.2

5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 7.3% 2.3%

130 74 162 59 492

660 775 620 995 330

-235 -300 -260 -220 -55

-26.3 -27.9 -29.5 -18.1 -14.3

730 875 410 570 215

-75 -25 -20 -60 -25

-9.3 -2.8 -4.7 -9.5 -10.4

1,255 1,575 895 1,335 280

-185 -225 -70 150 -60

-12.8 -12.5 -7.3 12.7 -17.6

Halton Hammersmith Hampstead and Kilburn Harborough Harlow

E E E E E

2,502 3,306 2,607 1,031 2,221

-585 -306 -665 -290 -102

-19.0 -8.5 -20.3 -22.0 -4.4

5.3% 4.8% 3.6% 2.1% 4.6%

169 208 333 522 223

780 565 395 300 545

-240 -95 -115 -90 -45

-23.5 -14.4 -22.5 -23.1 -7.6

380 655 525 205 475

-45 45 -75 -50 15

-10.6 7.4 -12.5 -19.6 3.3

725 1,100 965 240 660

-150 65 -55 -65 -30

-17.1 6.3 -5.4 -21.3 -4.3

Harrogate and Knaresborough Harrow East Harrow West Hartlepool Harwich and North Essex

E E E E E

831 1,352 1,657 3,992 1,182

-391 -377 -328 -702 -216

-32.0 -21.8 -16.5 -15.0 -15.5

1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 9.3% 2.7%

595 441 389 21 426

140 295 345 1,155 350

-85 -115 -100 -315 -125

-37.8 -28.0 -22.5 -21.4 -26.3

235 255 365 625 215

-30 -55 -5 -40 0

-11.3 -17.7 -1.4 -6.0 0.0

170 285 425 1,710 345

-115 -70 -55 -25 -5

-40.4 -19.7 -11.5 -1.4 -1.4

Hastings and Rye Havant Hayes and Harlington Hazel Grove Hemel Hempstead

E E E E E

2,730 1,606 2,335 1,152 1,432

-662 -388 -384 -130 -313

-19.5 -19.5 -14.1 -10.1 -17.9

5.3% 3.7% 4.3% 3.0% 2.7%

167 317 254 399 425

630 545 520 305 355

-185 -75 -105 -60 -80

-22.7 -12.1 -16.8 -16.4 -18.4

510 275 375 265 275

-60 -75 -10 45 -65

-10.5 -21.4 -2.6 20.5 -19.1

895 495 565 270 330

-175 -65 -40 -30 -85

-16.4 -11.6 -6.6 -10.0 -20.5

Hemsworth Hendon Henley Hereford and South Herefordshire Hertford and Stortford

E E E E E

2,003 2,021 474 1,163 1,069

-523 -576 -184 -467 -219

-20.7 -22.2 -28.0 -28.7 -17.0

4.5% 3.4% 1.0% 2.4% 1.9%

228 352 647 478 552

640 375 85 315 230

-240 -155 -65 -190 -75

-27.3 -29.2 -43.3 -37.6 -24.6

290 355 135 210 220

-45 -65 -20 -80 -35

-13.4 -15.5 -12.9 -27.6 -13.7

615 485 115 315 285

-40 -155 -25 -20 -20

-6.1 -24.2 -17.9 -6.0 -6.6

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 17

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Hertsmere Hexham Heywood and Middleton High Peak Hitchin and Harpenden

E E E E E

1,259 838 2,458 1,306 916

-237 -234 -798 -524 -161

-15.8 -21.8 -24.5 -28.6 -14.9

2.5% 2.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.8%

460 489 210 418 562

285 245 715 350 190

-50 -90 -280 -180 -75

-14.9 -26.9 -28.1 -34.0 -28.3

270 185 425 270 220

-5 -30 -55 -75 -25

-1.8 -14.0 -11.5 -21.7 -10.2

315 225 705 430 200

-20 0 -130 -85 -35

-6.0 0.0 -15.6 -16.5 -14.9

Holborn and St Pancras Hornchurch and Upminster Hornsey and Wood Green Horsham Houghton and Sunderland South

E E E E E

2,741 1,669 2,783 790 2,275

-828 -579 -682 -255 -608

-23.2 -25.8 -19.7 -24.4 -21.1

4.1% 3.3% 3.9% 1.5% 5.5%

273 357 297 611 154

525 465 460 170 790

-240 -240 -225 -85 -270

-31.4 -34.0 -32.8 -33.3 -25.5

535 325 490 190 375

-100 -30 -85 -30 -60

-15.7 -8.5 -14.8 -13.6 -13.8

840 480 840 175 780

-220 -90 -120 -65 -105

-20.8 -15.8 -12.5 -27.1 -11.9

Hove Huddersfield Huntingdon Hyndburn Ilford North

E E E E E

1,763 3,270 1,147 1,715 1,703

-369 -775 -562 -450 -489

-17.3 -19.2 -32.9 -20.8 -22.3

3.2% 7.2% 1.9% 3.9% 3.4%

369 65 549 296 346

330 820 340 510 430

-130 -340 -140 -250 -130

-28.3 -29.3 -29.2 -32.9 -23.2

365 555 210 265 330

5 10 -85 -20 -65

1.4 1.8 -28.8 -7.0 -16.5

450 1,215 245 440 505

-45 -25 -110 -30 -50

-9.1 -2.0 -31.0 -6.4 -9.0

Ilford South Inverclyde Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey Ipswich Isle of Wight

E S S E E

3,073 2,184 1,045 2,714 2,781

-855 -439 -482 -721 -377

-21.8 -16.7 -31.6 -21.0 -11.9

5.1% 5.8% 2.0% 4.7% 4.5%

188 129 532 217 232

790 540 205 675 755

-150 -115 -125 -230 -175

-16.0 -17.6 -37.9 -25.4 -18.8

485 415 225 470 635

-135 10 -100 -45 0

-21.8 2.5 -30.8 -8.7 0.0

970 590 270 955 905

-75 -125 -20 -195 -120

-7.2 -17.5 -6.9 -17.0 -11.7

Islington North Islington South and Finsbury Islwyn Jarrow Keighley

E E W E E

3,142 2,558 1,948 2,716 2,018

-612 -609 -382 -771 -366

-16.3 -19.2 -16.4 -22.1 -15.4

5.4% 4.5% 5.5% 6.6% 4.4%

166 233 159 89 245

620 595 645 800 575

-210 -180 -175 -230 -115

-25.3 -23.2 -21.3 -22.3 -16.7

555 430 295 490 350

-55 -45 -5 -135 -40

-9.0 -9.5 -1.7 -21.6 -10.3

1,025 850 665 980 670

-170 -35 -40 -65 -40

-14.2 -4.0 -5.7 -6.2 -5.6

Kenilworth and Southam Kensington Kettering Kilmarnock and Loudoun Kingston and Surbiton

E E E S E

425 2,018 1,760 2,885 1,314

-157 -512 -513 -547 -246

-27.0 -20.2 -22.6 -15.9 -15.8

1.1% 3.3% 3.6% 6.1% 2.1%

644 363 324 112 524

100 310 470 800 280

-55 -170 -225 -170 -80

-35.5 -35.4 -32.4 -17.5 -22.2

105 465 325 515 275

-35 -25 -60 -40 -30

-25.0 -5.1 -15.6 -7.2 -9.8

80 655 525 1,030 325

-15 -70 -20 -95 -10

-15.8 -9.7 -3.7 -8.4 -3.0

Kingston upon Hull East Kingston upon Hull North Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle Kingswood Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

E E E E S

4,031 4,336 4,082 1,037 3,074

-908 -969 -1,007 -332 -170

-18.4 -18.3 -19.8 -24.3 -5.2

8.9% 9.5% 9.4% 2.2% 6.4%

27 19 20 496 98

1,180 1,265 1,025 325 775

-395 -360 -305 -120 -115

-25.1 -22.2 -22.9 -27.0 -12.9

640 555 675 185 545

-110 -45 -100 -30 40

-14.7 -7.5 -12.9 -14.0 7.9

1,735 1,835 1,775 255 990

-170 -160 -220 -85 -45

-8.9 -8.0 -11.0 -25.0 -4.3

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 18

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Knowsley Lagan Valley Lanark and Hamilton East Lancaster and Fleetwood Leeds Central

E N S E E

3,446 2,165 2,318 1,315 6,494

-1,212 -219 -443 -320 -947

-26.0 -9.2 -16.0 -19.6 -12.7

7.2% 4.3% 4.9% 3.3% 9.9%

64 251 203 362 12

1,065 560 595 390 1,665

-435 -140 -205 -65 -325

-29.0 -20.0 -25.6 -14.3 -16.3

555 425 365 205 860

-110 25 -60 -35 -45

-16.5 6.3 -14.1 -14.6 -5.0

1,125 590 805 365 2,360

-175 70 -40 -50 -50

-13.5 13.5 -4.7 -12.0 -2.1

Leeds East Leeds North East Leeds North West Leeds West Leicester East

E E E E E

4,224 2,126 1,382 3,755 3,026

-409 -339 -235 -461 -664

-8.8 -13.8 -14.5 -10.9 -18.0

9.6% 4.5% 3.3% 7.6% 6.0%

16 236 366 52 115

1,255 555 400 1,040 755

-120 -135 -110 -210 -240

-8.7 -19.6 -21.6 -16.8 -24.1

575 345 205 540 620

-10 -40 -30 -30 -85

-1.7 -10.4 -12.8 -5.3 -12.1

1,545 680 395 1,340 970

145 -15 50 65 0

10.4 -2.2 14.5 5.1 0.0

Leicester South Leicester West Leigh Lewes Lewisham East

E E E E E

3,965 3,605 2,519 909 2,749

-594 -787 -513 -308 -786

-13.0 -17.9 -16.9 -25.3 -22.2

7.5% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 5.2%

54 68 212 499 179

1,085 950 715 255 525

-225 -350 -220 -85 -295

-17.2 -26.9 -23.5 -25.0 -36.0

735 505 385 205 530

-30 -85 -40 -45 -50

-3.9 -14.4 -9.4 -18.0 -8.6

1,450 1,195 730 220 905

100 -115 -80 -90 -145

7.4 -8.8 -9.9 -29.0 -13.8

Lewisham West and Penge Lewisham, Deptford Leyton and Wanstead Lichfield Lincoln

E E E E E

2,960 3,599 2,767 865 2,867

-702 -907 -656 -334 -519

-19.2 -20.1 -19.2 -27.9 -15.3

5.1% 5.6% 5.0% 1.9% 5.2%

185 144 198 551 180

595 725 560 285 890

-210 -210 -225 -115 -175

-26.1 -22.5 -28.7 -28.8 -16.4

550 685 505 175 455

-65 -70 -60 -35 -15

-10.6 -9.3 -10.6 -16.7 -3.2

950 1,215 890 205 995

-210 -190 -120 -55 35

-18.1 -13.5 -11.9 -21.2 3.6

Linlithgow and East Falkirk Liverpool, Riverside Liverpool, Walton Liverpool, Wavertree Liverpool, West Derby

S E E E E

2,542 3,963 4,399 3,566 3,172

-317 -577 -622 -796 -802

-11.1 -12.7 -12.4 -18.2 -20.2

4.5% 7.1% 10.3% 7.9% 7.4%

230 70 9 43 57

775 940 1,225 895 840

-110 -225 -275 -370 -340

-12.4 -19.3 -18.3 -29.2 -28.8

405 615 695 545 505

15 0 -5 -45 -55

3.8 0.0 -0.7 -7.6 -9.8

720 1,380 1,490 1,220 1,105

-50 -60 -100 -165 -130

-6.5 -4.2 -6.3 -11.9 -10.5

Livingston Llanelli Loughborough Louth and Horncastle Ludlow

S W E E E

2,057 1,587 1,106 1,250 782

-386 -418 -527 -334 -278

-15.8 -20.8 -32.3 -21.1 -26.2

3.5% 4.3% 2.3% 3.1% 1.9%

337 248 486 391 543

580 480 235 420 200

-160 -245 -195 -130 -90

-21.6 -33.8 -45.3 -23.6 -31.0

320 255 230 230 195

5 -25 -80 -55 -55

1.6 -8.9 -25.8 -19.3 -22.0

450 465 290 365 220

-35 -25 -55 -20 -20

-7.2 -5.1 -15.9 -5.2 -8.3

Luton North Luton South Macclesfield Maidenhead Maidstone and The Weald

E E E E E

1,983 2,719 1,254 870 1,165

-558 -717 -51 -332 -406

-22.0 -20.9 -3.9 -27.6 -25.8

4.3% 4.9% 2.7% 1.7% 2.2%

253 201 438 581 495

430 515 325 200 300

-230 -245 -45 -105 -125

-34.8 -32.2 -12.2 -34.4 -29.4

365 535 280 185 225

-45 -65 25 -60 -60

-11.0 -10.8 9.8 -24.5 -21.1

570 845 310 190 300

-190 -215 20 -60 -50

-25.0 -20.3 6.9 -24.0 -14.3

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 19

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Makerfield Maldon Manchester Central Manchester, Gorton Manchester, Withington

E E E E E

1,849 1,005 5,072 3,902 2,186

-650 -145 -883 -728 -446

-26.0 -12.6 -14.8 -15.7 -16.9

3.7% 2.3% 7.9% 8.0% 4.0%

315 493 45 41 283

465 275 1,125 910 535

-315 -40 -345 -300 -185

-40.4 -12.7 -23.5 -24.8 -25.7

330 205 810 580 315

15 -30 20 -45 -35

4.8 -12.8 2.5 -7.2 -10.0

560 255 1,650 1,145 535

-70 -35 -115 -170 -75

-11.1 -12.1 -6.5 -12.9 -12.3

Mansfield Meon Valley Meriden Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Mid Bedfordshire

E E E W E

2,449 737 2,469 2,654 835

-355 -149 -632 -579 -230

-12.7 -16.8 -20.4 -17.9 -21.6

4.8% 1.6% 4.7% 7.7% 1.6%

215 585 219 49 593

755 195 770 875 215

-80 -50 -280 -235 -90

-9.6 -20.4 -26.7 -21.2 -29.5

380 155 385 390 170

-30 -15 -55 -55 -30

-7.3 -8.8 -12.5 -12.4 -15.0

805 170 840 1,060 205

40 -15 -120 -115 -25

5.2 -8.1 -12.5 -9.8 -10.9

Mid Derbyshire Mid Dorset and North Poole Mid Norfolk Mid Sussex Mid Ulster

E E E E N

659 568 1,213 606 2,657

-409 -60 -239 -210 -119

-38.3 -9.6 -16.5 -25.7 -4.3

1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 1.1% 5.8%

601 615 451 643 127

195 165 375 120 670

-135 -20 -100 -70 -105

-40.9 -10.8 -21.1 -36.8 -13.5

145 120 220 145 510

-55 -10 -35 -30 60

-27.5 -7.7 -13.7 -17.1 13.3

150 75 390 90 635

-75 -15 -20 -40 55

-33.3 -16.7 -4.9 -30.8 9.5

Mid Worcestershire Middlesbrough Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland Midlothian Milton Keynes North

E E E S E

974 4,921 2,594 1,629 2,090

-482 -1,045 -823 -472 -731

-33.1 -17.5 -24.1 -22.5 -25.9

2.1% 11.9% 6.0% 3.8% 3.1%

526 5 117 306 388

290 1,375 800 490 395

-140 -400 -310 -160 -210

-32.6 -22.5 -27.9 -24.6 -34.7

215 675 370 260 460

-90 -115 -70 -65 -50

-29.5 -14.6 -15.9 -20.0 -9.8

255 2,075 1,080 445 550

-65 -175 -140 -65 -175

-20.3 -7.8 -11.5 -12.7 -24.1

Milton Keynes South Mitcham and Morden Mole Valley Monmouth Montgomeryshire

E E E W W

2,201 2,337 558 1,051 713

-720 -501 -182 -276 -142

-24.6 -17.7 -24.6 -20.8 -16.6

3.2% 4.3% 1.2% 2.7% 2.3%

367 256 636 431 484

415 480 110 335 215

-260 -215 -50 -110 -75

-38.5 -30.9 -31.3 -24.7 -25.9

445 445 145 205 145

-80 -55 -40 -55 -25

-15.2 -11.0 -21.6 -21.2 -14.7

610 735 135 260 190

-190 -120 -25 -65 -10

-23.8 -14.0 -15.6 -20.0 -5.0

Moray Morecambe and Lunesdale Morley and Outwood Motherwell and Wishaw Na h-Eileanan An Iar

S E E S S

915 1,698 1,658 2,833 429

-305 -294 -366 -624 -29

-25.0 -14.8 -18.1 -18.1 -6.3

2.0% 4.1% 3.1% 6.8% 3.4%

527 267 381 76 353

225 455 435 725 75

-100 -120 -190 -235 0

-30.8 -20.9 -30.4 -24.5 0.0

205 300 330 415 150

-50 -35 -10 -55 -20

-19.6 -10.4 -2.9 -11.7 -11.8

230 510 435 965 140

-60 25 -55 -215 -5

-20.7 5.2 -11.2 -18.2 -3.4

Neath New Forest East New Forest West Newark Newbury

W E E E E

1,354 797 608 1,189 869

-274 -181 -182 -266 -343

-16.8 -18.5 -23.0 -18.3 -28.3

4.1% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 1.5%

277 572 582 467 606

480 240 140 330 180

-115 -65 -70 -100 -125

-19.3 -21.3 -33.3 -23.3 -41.0

215 155 140 250 205

-10 -25 -30 -25 -35

-4.4 -13.9 -17.6 -9.1 -14.6

335 150 120 330 240

-15 -55 -15 15 -55

-4.3 -26.8 -11.1 4.8 -18.6

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 20

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Newcastle upon Tyne Central Newcastle upon Tyne East Newcastle upon Tyne North Newcastle-under-Lyme Newport East

E E E E W

3,664 2,776 1,905 1,494 2,299

-567 -512 -273 -116 -366

-13.4 -15.6 -12.5 -7.2 -13.7

8.8% 6.0% 4.3% 3.5% 6.2%

29 119 250 340 109

945 785 580 370 665

-225 -195 -115 -70 -125

-19.2 -19.9 -16.5 -15.9 -15.8

580 440 320 300 340

-60 -25 -25 25 -45

-9.4 -5.4 -7.2 9.1 -11.7

1,275 865 535 390 805

5 -70 -35 -15 15

0.4 -7.5 -6.1 -3.7 1.9

Newport West Newry & Armagh Newton Abbot Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford North Antrim

W N E E N

2,377 3,862 826 2,446 3,018

-401 -320 -358 -560 -200

-14.4 -7.7 -30.2 -18.6 -6.2

5.8% 7.4% 2.0% 4.6% 5.9%

133 55 529 224 123

625 905 190 725 765

-265 -205 -125 -280 -145

-29.8 -18.5 -39.7 -27.9 -15.9

370 785 215 410 570

-15 60 -30 -5 15

-3.9 8.3 -12.2 -1.2 2.7

815 1,305 180 785 805

0 -95 -45 35 65

0.0 -6.8 -20.0 4.7 8.8

North Ayrshire and Arran North Cornwall North Devon North Dorset North Down

S E E E N

3,166 865 744 569 2,027

-586 -381 -386 -111 -148

-15.6 -30.6 -34.2 -16.3 -6.8

7.4% 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 4.7%

56 508 579 635 220

810 245 225 140 535

-280 -155 -115 -35 -80

-25.7 -38.8 -33.8 -20.0 -13.0

560 185 140 140 425

-45 -30 -60 0 20

-7.4 -14.0 -30.0 0.0 4.9

1,185 230 205 110 580

-90 -50 -25 10 85

-7.1 -17.9 -10.9 10.0 17.2

North Durham North East Bedfordshire North East Cambridgeshire North East Derbyshire North East Fife

E E E E S

2,228 1,136 1,769 1,342 859

-541 -417 -608 -425 -194

-19.5 -26.9 -25.6 -24.1 -18.4

5.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0% 2.1%

174 517 371 396 520

675 235 525 445 230

-235 -185 -250 -135 -40

-25.8 -44.0 -32.3 -23.3 -14.8

355 240 335 265 205

-45 -55 -25 -55 -20

-11.3 -18.6 -6.9 -17.2 -8.9

835 340 500 475 255

-75 -30 -110 -35 -30

-8.2 -8.1 -18.0 -6.9 -10.5

North East Hampshire North East Hertfordshire North East Somerset North Herefordshire North Norfolk

E E E E E

519 1,135 738 809 904

-111 -205 -254 -232 -272

-17.6 -15.3 -25.6 -22.3 -23.1

1.0% 2.3% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6%

645 479 574 538 454

140 255 215 235 295

-10 -55 -125 -75 -85

-6.7 -17.7 -36.8 -24.2 -22.4

145 265 155 160 190

5 -20 -10 -35 -35

3.6 -7.0 -6.1 -17.9 -15.6

65 295 165 240 245

-30 -15 -60 10 -45

-31.6 -4.8 -26.7 4.3 -15.5

North Shropshire North Somerset North Swindon North Thanet North Tyneside

E E E E E

1,625 584 1,638 2,215 2,993

-225 -228 -225 -341 -853

-12.2 -28.1 -12.1 -13.3 -22.2

3.2% 1.2% 2.8% 5.3% 5.7%

378 637 414 171 143

465 125 450 705 830

-55 -95 -120 -125 -245

-10.6 -43.2 -21.1 -15.1 -22.8

340 135 290 415 535

10 -40 -5 -40 -110

3.0 -22.9 -1.7 -8.8 -17.1

440 140 355 790 950

-20 0 -70 45 -175

-4.3 0.0 -16.5 6.0 -15.6

North Warwickshire North West Cambridgeshire North West Durham North West Hampshire North West Leicestershire

E E E E E

1,225 1,797 1,760 844 1,220

-219 -736 -641 -210 -414

-15.2 -29.1 -26.7 -19.9 -25.3

2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 1.6% 2.6%

442 433 290 589 452

355 455 520 200 325

-75 -225 -265 -75 -145

-17.4 -33.1 -33.8 -27.3 -30.9

230 335 310 190 230

-30 -90 -65 -15 -50

-11.5 -21.2 -17.3 -7.3 -17.9

290 495 620 150 380

-25 -65 -90 5 -45

-7.9 -11.6 -12.7 3.4 -10.6

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 21

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

North West Norfolk North Wiltshire Northampton North Northampton South Norwich North

E E E E E

1,681 801 1,825 2,471 1,714

-240 -138 -413 -575 -391

-12.5 -14.7 -18.5 -18.9 -18.6

3.8% 1.8% 4.2% 4.9% 3.8%

301 565 264 202 300

530 250 435 555 450

-65 -45 -150 -205 -195

-10.9 -15.3 -25.6 -27.0 -30.2

315 160 335 485 300

-10 -45 -70 -35 -5

-3.1 -22.0 -17.3 -6.7 -1.6

495 185 525 775 570

-20 -15 -15 25 -105

-3.9 -7.5 -2.8 3.3 -15.6

Norwich South Nottingham East Nottingham North Nottingham South Nuneaton

E E E E E

2,316 4,607 4,383 2,903 1,992

-526 -588 -642 -472 -174

-18.5 -11.3 -12.8 -14.0 -8.0

4.8% 9.5% 9.9% 6.1% 4.2%

211 18 11 114 259

600 1,150 1,330 815 595

-200 -205 -305 -135 -80

-25.0 -15.1 -18.7 -14.2 -11.9

390 670 570 460 315

-35 -5 -5 -15 0

-8.2 -0.7 -0.9 -3.2 0.0

845 1,665 1,690 1,035 640

-20 25 -60 25 55

-2.3 1.5 -3.4 2.5 9.4

Ochil and South Perthshire Ogmore Old Bexley and Sidcup Oldham East and Saddleworth Oldham West and Royton

S W E E E

1,861 1,604 853 2,419 2,915

-279 -482 -296 -1,058 -980

-13.0 -23.1 -25.8 -30.4 -25.2

3.7% 4.6% 2.0% 5.0% 6.3%

312 225 540 194 100

535 520 245 525 670

-150 -145 -95 -495 -555

-21.9 -21.8 -27.9 -48.5 -45.3

280 250 160 405 485

-10 -60 -30 -85 -55

-3.4 -19.4 -15.8 -17.3 -10.2

585 410 180 915 1,000

-60 -75 -55 -5 10

-9.3 -15.5 -23.4 -0.5 1.0

Orkney and Shetland Orpington Oxford East Oxford West and Abingdon Paisley and Renfrewshire North

S E E E S

255 960 1,630 715 1,824

-100 -374 -417 -127 -259

-28.2 -28.0 -20.4 -15.1 -12.4

1.1% 2.2% 2.8% 1.3% 4.1%

642 497 416 624 276

65 270 275 130 460

-40 -65 -90 -45 -110

-38.1 -19.4 -24.7 -25.7 -19.3

65 170 305 175 350

-20 -75 -45 -10 -10

-23.5 -30.6 -12.9 -5.4 -2.8

55 265 405 145 490

-25 -90 -120 -20 -70

-31.3 -25.4 -22.9 -12.1 -12.5

Paisley and Renfrewshire South Pendle Penistone and Stocksbridge Penrith and The Border Perth and North Perthshire

S E E E S

2,562 1,612 1,268 589 1,288

-442 -475 -272 -150 -186

-14.7 -22.8 -17.7 -20.3 -12.6

6.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 2.5%

116 298 408 616 459

630 475 395 150 360

-140 -210 -150 -40 -65

-18.2 -30.7 -27.5 -21.1 -15.3

495 270 215 120 245

-70 -20 -30 -30 -20

-12.4 -6.9 -12.2 -20.0 -7.5

820 490 355 150 255

-100 -45 -30 10 -60

-10.9 -8.4 -7.8 7.1 -19.0

Peterborough Plymouth, Moor View Plymouth, Sutton and Devonport Pontypridd Poole

E E E W E

3,574 1,580 2,887 1,518 1,021

-1,012 -521 -748 -428 -87

-22.1 -24.8 -20.6 -22.0 -7.9

6.3% 3.7% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2%

102 314 182 294 509

835 560 830 495 250

-345 -200 -320 -130 -40

-29.2 -26.3 -27.8 -20.8 -13.8

575 195 430 230 235

-60 -60 -70 -30 20

-9.4 -23.5 -14.0 -11.5 9.3

1,100 445 840 445 180

-85 -130 -215 -45 -25

-7.2 -22.6 -20.4 -9.2 -12.2

Poplar and Limehouse Portsmouth North Portsmouth South Preseli Pembrokeshire Preston

E E E W E

4,308 1,600 2,477 1,133 2,620

-1,095 -419 -526 -264 -333

-20.3 -20.8 -17.5 -18.9 -11.3

6.2% 3.2% 4.6% 3.2% 5.7%

108 377 221 370 139

1,080 450 510 310 700

-435 -130 -205 -140 -120

-28.7 -22.4 -28.7 -31.1 -14.6

715 290 480 195 415

-95 -40 -15 -10 15

-11.7 -12.1 -3.0 -4.9 3.8

1,550 445 790 275 725

-250 -70 -125 -45 -110

-13.9 -13.6 -13.7 -14.1 -13.2

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 22

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Pudsey Putney Rayleigh and Wickford Reading East Reading West

E E E E E

1,206 1,422 972 1,390 1,486

-218 -180 -289 -680 -673

-15.3 -11.2 -22.9 -32.9 -31.2

2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7%

457 445 537 480 427

340 255 310 265 270

-115 -65 -85 -230 -265

-25.3 -20.3 -21.5 -46.5 -49.5

240 280 185 265 285

5 5 -30 -90 -65

2.1 1.8 -14.0 -25.4 -18.6

305 455 235 400 435

5 15 -30 -130 -150

1.7 3.4 -11.3 -24.5 -25.6

Redcar Redditch Reigate Rhondda Ribble Valley

E E E W E

3,187 1,459 902 2,061 761

-740 -430 -271 -877 -125

-18.8 -22.8 -23.1 -29.9 -14.1

7.9% 3.1% 1.7% 6.9% 1.5%

44 394 570 72 602

915 360 210 715 230

-310 -190 -75 -345 -50

-25.3 -34.5 -26.3 -32.5 -17.9

495 285 200 285 155

-80 -35 -25 -85 -10

-13.9 -10.9 -11.1 -23.0 -6.1

1,300 400 215 715 140

-55 -60 -15 -165 -15

-4.1 -13.0 -6.5 -18.8 -9.7

Richmond (Yorks) Richmond Park Rochdale Rochester and Strood Rochford and Southend East

E E E E E

887 1,073 3,202 1,917 2,837

-313 -88 -924 -474 -597

-26.1 -7.6 -22.4 -19.8 -17.4

1.6% 1.8% 6.7% 3.5% 5.8%

590 568 82 339 131

245 205 895 565 805

-85 -25 -420 -140 -155

-25.8 -10.9 -31.9 -19.9 -16.1

180 250 450 330 505

-50 10 -70 -95 -80

-21.7 4.2 -13.5 -22.4 -13.7

190 280 990 590 835

-95 25 -210 -130 -265

-33.3 9.8 -17.5 -18.1 -24.1

Romford Romsey and Southampton North Ross, Skye and Lochaber Rossendale and Darwen Rother Valley

E E S E E

1,628 713 633 1,696 2,028

-513 -143 -200 -524 -318

-24.0 -16.7 -24.0 -23.6 -13.6

3.3% 1.7% 1.9% 3.4% 4.4%

365 576 550 341 243

430 180 100 495 625

-165 -70 -65 -215 -175

-27.7 -28.0 -39.4 -30.3 -21.9

265 160 185 280 330

-80 -15 -35 -20 -35

-23.2 -8.6 -15.9 -6.7 -9.6

470 150 155 480 685

-95 -15 -10 -70 30

-16.8 -9.1 -6.1 -12.7 4.6

Rotherham Rugby Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Runnymede and Weybridge Rushcliffe

E E E E E

3,468 1,189 848 736 882

-498 -192 -137 -219 -299

-12.6 -13.9 -13.9 -22.9 -25.3

8.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8%

35 475 558 617 557

1,005 315 170 135 230

-230 -55 -60 -75 -105

-18.6 -14.9 -26.1 -35.7 -31.3

520 245 185 165 185

-10 -5 -15 -45 -60

-1.9 -2.0 -7.5 -21.4 -24.5

1,230 245 190 175 260

-40 -30 0 -40 0

-3.1 -10.9 0.0 -18.6 0.0

Rutherglen and Hamilton West Rutland and Melton Saffron Walden Salford and Eccles Salisbury

S E E E E

2,984 846 756 3,185 751

-533 -315 -303 -632 -160

-15.2 -27.1 -28.6 -16.6 -17.6

6.0% 1.7% 1.5% 5.6% 1.6%

118 578 612 147 587

825 250 200 805 215

-170 -105 -80 -210 -70

-17.1 -29.6 -28.6 -20.7 -24.6

495 165 180 455 155

-45 -40 -30 -25 -15

-8.3 -19.5 -14.3 -5.2 -8.8

930 230 190 880 135

-105 -30 -40 -55 -15

-10.1 -11.5 -17.4 -5.9 -10.0

Scarborough and Whitby Scunthorpe Sedgefield Sefton Central Selby and Ainsty

E E E E E

1,916 2,414 2,060 1,051 1,133

-619 -740 -567 -316 -322

-24.4 -23.5 -21.6 -23.1 -22.1

4.2% 5.5% 5.2% 2.6% 2.2%

260 155 184 444 500

385 620 705 345 320

-250 -300 -225 -140 -90

-39.4 -32.6 -24.2 -28.9 -22.0

445 385 305 195 225

-50 -95 -75 -40 -45

-10.1 -19.8 -19.7 -17.0 -16.7

725 770 660 235 280

-125 -165 -15 -55 -100

-14.7 -17.6 -2.2 -19.0 -26.3

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 23

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Sevenoaks Sheffield Central Sheffield South East Sheffield, Brightside and Hillsborough Sheffield, Hallam

E E E E E

728 3,064 2,396 4,636 807

-255 -475 -385 -750 -165

-25.9 -13.4 -13.8 -13.9 -17.0

1.6% 5.5% 5.3% 9.7% 1.9%

592 153 170 15 553

180 800 705 1,300 250

-70 -220 -180 -400 -95

-28.0 -21.6 -20.3 -23.5 -27.5

165 450 380 610 170

-40 0 -55 -30 -20

-19.5 0.0 -12.6 -4.7 -10.5

220 1,090 845 1,710 205

-20 -60 45 -65 -20

-8.3 -5.2 5.6 -3.7 -8.9

Sheffield, Heeley Sherwood Shipley Shrewsbury and Atcham Sittingbourne and Sheppey

E E E E E

3,052 1,661 1,768 1,331 2,365

-461 -388 -270 -360 -509

-13.1 -18.9 -13.2 -21.3 -17.7

6.6% 3.6% 3.6% 2.6% 4.5%

90 331 329 455 231

885 495 435 370 775

-200 -150 -155 -140 -160

-18.4 -23.3 -26.3 -27.5 -17.1

485 275 360 265 420

-5 -25 20 -20 -60

-1.0 -8.3 5.9 -7.0 -12.5

1,140 525 600 355 765

-20 -40 10 -5 -55

-1.7 -7.1 1.7 -1.4 -6.7

Skipton and Ripon Sleaford and North Hykeham Slough Solihull Somerton and Frome

E E E E E

743 1,094 2,706 951 744

-296 -311 -528 -296 -247

-28.5 -22.1 -16.3 -23.7 -24.9

1.5% 2.0% 3.9% 1.9% 1.5%

605 530 291 542 610

165 395 655 265 245

-85 -125 -120 -130 -100

-34.0 -24.0 -15.5 -32.9 -29.0

180 190 470 185 150

-50 -50 -60 -15 -35

-21.7 -20.8 -11.3 -7.5 -18.9

190 275 825 180 150

-40 -25 -15 -35 -50

-17.4 -8.3 -1.8 -16.3 -25.0

South Antrim South Basildon and East Thurrock South Cambridgeshire South Derbyshire South Dorset

N E E E E

2,101 2,133 673 985 1,010

-207 -345 -303 -338 -216

-9.0 -13.9 -31.0 -25.5 -17.6

4.2% 4.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.3%

263 252 638 534 485

605 630 175 320 260

-80 -105 -90 -115 -75

-11.7 -14.3 -34.0 -26.4 -22.4

370 325 145 160 210

0 -80 -40 -40 -55

0.0 -19.8 -21.6 -20.0 -20.8

545 645 160 250 195

70 -25 -20 -20 20

14.7 -3.7 -11.1 -7.4 11.4

South Down South East Cambridgeshire South East Cornwall South Holland and The Deepings South Leicestershire

N E E E E

3,153 928 911 1,362 949

-392 -365 -308 -326 -353

-11.1 -28.2 -25.3 -19.3 -27.1

6.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 1.8%

104 603 504 422 564

825 255 300 410 285

-180 -75 -105 -120 -95

-17.9 -22.7 -25.9 -22.6 -25.0

605 200 180 255 185

10 -60 -15 -25 -85

1.7 -23.1 -7.7 -8.9 -31.5

1,050 235 205 380 245

125 -45 -40 15 -20

13.5 -16.1 -16.3 4.1 -7.5

South Norfolk South Northamptonshire South Ribble South Shields South Staffordshire

E E E E E

969 809 1,065 3,589 1,253

-271 -195 -217 -678 -291

-21.9 -19.4 -16.9 -15.9 -18.8

2.0% 1.4% 2.1% 9.2% 2.7%

531 620 510 26 436

280 225 355 1,035 370

-100 -65 -60 -310 -120

-26.3 -22.4 -14.5 -23.0 -24.5

175 180 160 650 250

-60 -35 -60 -105 -30

-25.5 -16.3 -27.3 -13.9 -10.7

255 180 225 1,465 400

-60 0 10 -80 -5

-19.0 0.0 4.7 -5.2 -1.2

South Suffolk South Swindon South Thanet South West Bedfordshire South West Devon

E E E E E

961 2,069 2,798 1,428 539

-345 -360 -404 -637 -262

-26.4 -14.8 -12.6 -30.8 -32.7

2.2% 3.7% 6.5% 2.7% 1.2%

505 318 94 437 634

240 570 760 330 200

-100 -150 -200 -195 -85

-29.4 -20.8 -20.8 -37.1 -29.8

210 380 515 285 115

-55 -50 10 -95 -25

-20.8 -11.6 2.0 -25.0 -17.9

260 525 970 435 95

-45 -55 20 -180 -35

-14.8 -9.5 2.1 -29.3 -26.9

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 24

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

South West Hertfordshire South West Norfolk South West Surrey South West Wiltshire Southampton, Itchen

E E E E E

891 1,376 659 1,161 1,899

-216 -450 -236 -299 -472

-19.5 -24.6 -26.4 -20.5 -19.9

1.7% 2.8% 1.3% 2.4% 3.5%

577 421 627 472 338

195 380 130 360 460

-110 -190 -75 -95 -195

-36.1 -33.3 -36.6 -20.9 -29.8

210 280 170 200 305

-15 -45 -35 -40 -55

-6.7 -13.8 -17.1 -16.7 -15.3

235 390 145 290 450

0 -10 -40 -40 -130

0.0 -2.5 -21.6 -12.1 -22.4

Southampton, Test Southend West Southport Spelthorne St Albans

E E E E E

1,950 1,474 1,722 882 907

-441 -347 -352 -350 -317

-18.4 -19.1 -17.0 -28.4 -25.9

3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 1.7% 1.8%

334 358 269 571 567

415 390 485 205 195

-205 -105 -85 -115 -95

-33.1 -21.2 -14.9 -35.9 -32.8

380 295 360 205 200

-30 -35 -15 -30 -25

-7.3 -10.6 -4.0 -12.8 -11.1

450 375 490 195 225

-130 -110 -40 -95 -45

-22.4 -22.7 -7.5 -32.8 -16.7

St Austell and Newquay St Helens North St Helens South and Whiston St Ives Stafford

E E E E E

1,577 2,346 2,794 869 1,133

-421 -586 -746 -547 -320

-21.1 -20.0 -21.1 -38.6 -22.0

3.4% 5.0% 5.8% 2.2% 2.3%

349 195 134 501 481

445 715 865 280 355

-130 -230 -295 -95 -90

-22.6 -24.3 -25.4 -25.3 -20.2

285 375 405 160 225

-50 -55 -55 -110 -25

-14.9 -12.8 -12.0 -40.7 -10.0

355 760 925 240 295

-110 -60 -95 -90 -40

-23.7 -7.3 -9.3 -27.3 -11.9

Staffordshire Moorlands Stalybridge and Hyde Stevenage Stirling Stockport

E E E S E

737 2,425 1,841 1,526 2,447

-143 -493 -423 -318 -271

-16.3 -16.9 -18.7 -17.2 -10.0

1.9% 5.3% 3.7% 3.4% 5.5%

547 172 319 347 152

205 690 445 390 655

-30 -225 -220 -165 -115

-12.8 -24.6 -33.1 -29.7 -14.9

145 455 400 260 430

-15 -25 -10 -40 -30

-9.4 -5.2 -2.4 -13.3 -6.5

175 740 585 450 725

-50 -55 -65 -50 -10

-22.2 -6.9 -10.0 -10.0 -1.4

Stockton North Stockton South Stoke-on-Trent Central Stoke-on-Trent North Stoke-on-Trent South

E E E E E

3,465 2,520 2,524 2,580 1,932

-729 -551 -408 -213 -471

-17.4 -17.9 -13.9 -7.6 -19.6

8.0% 4.9% 6.3% 5.7% 4.5%

42 200 99 142 226

1,005 740 675 780 580

-310 -205 -160 -115 -200

-23.6 -21.7 -19.2 -12.8 -25.6

510 380 375 380 285

-50 -65 -35 5 -70

-8.9 -14.6 -8.5 1.3 -19.7

1,390 895 670 685 485

-10 10 -140 -50 -50

-0.7 1.1 -17.3 -6.8 -9.3

Stone Stourbridge Strangford Stratford-on-Avon Streatham

E E N E E

650 2,128 2,401 447 3,463

-200 -502 -167 -241 -642

-23.5 -19.1 -6.5 -35.0 -15.6

1.6% 4.8% 5.5% 1.0% 5.0%

599 214 151 646 193

170 630 690 95 515

-80 -195 -75 -75 -215

-32.0 -23.6 -9.8 -44.1 -29.5

155 425 465 110 735

-10 -50 45 -35 15

-6.1 -10.5 10.7 -24.1 2.1

150 830 795 50 1,255

-20 -30 180 -50 -175

-11.8 -3.5 29.3 -50.0 -12.2

Stretford and Urmston Stroud Suffolk Coastal Sunderland Central Surrey Heath

E E E E E

2,156 1,037 820 3,223 838

-643 -389 -329 -906 -332

-23.0 -27.3 -28.6 -21.9 -28.4

4.4% 2.0% 1.8% 6.7% 1.5%

242 533 559 80 608

540 340 225 980 185

-245 -105 -130 -275 -140

-31.2 -23.6 -36.6 -21.9 -43.1

405 185 180 575 175

-45 -80 -70 -75 -35

-10.0 -30.2 -28.0 -11.5 -16.7

645 220 210 1,155 185

-95 -55 -45 -280 -35

-12.8 -20.0 -17.6 -19.5 -15.9

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 25

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Sutton and Cheam Sutton Coldfield Swansea East Swansea West Tamworth

E E W W E

1,074 1,108 1,872 1,829 1,145

-300 -322 -333 -233 -519

-21.8 -22.5 -15.1 -11.3 -31.2

2.1% 2.3% 5.0% 5.2% 2.3%

516 483 197 175 482

180 300 580 520 335

-105 -125 -100 -65 -185

-36.8 -29.4 -14.7 -11.1 -35.6

215 250 280 275 195

-30 -35 -40 -25 -65

-12.2 -12.3 -12.5 -8.3 -25.0

320 340 475 470 235

-10 -40 20 15 -155

-3.0 -10.5 4.4 3.3 -39.7

Tatton Taunton Deane Telford Tewkesbury The Cotswolds

E E E E E

747 1,255 2,364 1,067 671

-338 -273 -602 -222 -142

-31.2 -17.9 -20.3 -17.2 -17.5

1.8% 2.3% 5.2% 2.1% 1.4%

561 488 178 512 613

175 395 750 290 180

-90 -100 -205 -120 -15

-34.0 -20.2 -21.5 -29.3 -7.7

165 230 330 240 170

-65 -45 -60 5 -20

-28.3 -16.4 -15.4 2.1 -10.5

145 270 730 285 150

-80 -35 -45 -45 -35

-35.6 -11.5 -5.8 -13.6 -18.9

The Wrekin Thirsk and Malton Thornbury and Yate Thurrock Tiverton and Honiton

E E E E E

1,366 897 715 2,878 729

-324 -216 -208 -341 -331

-19.2 -19.4 -22.5 -10.6 -31.2

3.0% 1.9% 1.7% 4.7% 1.6%

395 546 575 218 591

410 240 245 755 210

-125 -95 -80 -150 -130

-23.4 -28.4 -24.6 -16.6 -38.2

265 195 135 460 160

-25 -30 -35 -15 -60

-8.6 -13.3 -20.6 -3.2 -27.3

390 235 165 880 180

-10 -45 -15 -25 -75

-2.5 -16.1 -8.3 -2.8 -29.4

Tonbridge and Malling Tooting Torbay Torfaen Torridge and West Devon

E E E W E

855 1,968 2,154 2,263 1,028

-293 -308 -669 -556 -374

-25.5 -13.5 -23.7 -19.7 -26.7

1.8% 3.1% 4.8% 5.9% 2.3%

569 386 213 125 487

205 290 525 790 300

-80 -145 -150 -190 -145

-28.1 -33.3 -22.2 -19.4 -32.6

195 425 465 320 230

-60 0 -85 -70 -25

-23.5 0.0 -15.5 -17.9 -9.8

235 690 680 750 290

-25 -70 -175 5 -70

-9.6 -9.2 -20.5 0.7 -19.4

Totnes Tottenham Truro and Falmouth Tunbridge Wells Twickenham

E E E E E

761 5,338 1,110 667 1,077

-274 -997 -349 -318 -163

-26.5 -15.7 -23.9 -32.3 -13.1

2.1% 8.4% 2.6% 1.2% 1.8%

521 32 447 632 566

190 1,070 300 140 210

-100 -250 -115 -75 -45

-34.5 -18.9 -27.7 -34.9 -17.6

210 960 225 155 250

10 -70 -50 -50 -20

5.0 -6.8 -18.2 -24.4 -7.4

170 1,810 240 135 230

-85 -180 -65 -55 -20

-33.3 -9.0 -21.3 -28.9 -8.0

Tynemouth Upper Bann Uxbridge and South Ruislip Vale of Clwyd Vale of Glamorgan

E N E W W

1,899 3,641 1,313 1,612 1,912

-534 -314 -316 -379 -441

-21.9 -7.9 -19.4 -19.0 -18.7

3.8% 6.5% 2.5% 5.1% 4.0%

299 95 461 189 282

570 1,025 295 495 580

-185 -195 -100 -145 -150

-24.5 -16.0 -25.3 -22.7 -20.5

340 655 225 260 335

-90 70 -35 -40 -20

-20.9 12.0 -13.5 -13.3 -5.6

570 1,130 285 530 540

-80 85 -70 -25 -125

-12.3 8.1 -19.7 -4.5 -18.8

Vauxhall Wakefield Wallasey Walsall North Walsall South

E E E E E

3,828 2,642 2,178 3,629 3,550

-681 -384 -453 -765 -755

-15.1 -12.7 -17.2 -17.4 -17.5

5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 8.4% 8.2%

161 156 191 34 38

670 720 690 1,015 1,005

-185 -150 -165 -320 -300

-21.6 -17.2 -19.3 -24.0 -23.0

790 440 335 570 570

-60 -5 -40 -95 -35

-7.1 -1.1 -10.7 -14.3 -5.8

1,415 930 615 1,475 1,305

-95 15 -110 -130 -190

-6.3 1.6 -15.2 -8.1 -12.7

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 26

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Walthamstow Wansbeck Wantage Warley Warrington North

E E E E E

3,786 2,564 732 3,507 1,984

-847 -541 -271 -737 -597

-18.3 -17.4 -27.0 -17.4 -23.1

6.6% 6.5% 1.3% 8.2% 4.0%

86 93 628 36 287

870 825 150 935 455

-295 -210 -115 -365 -300

-25.3 -20.3 -43.4 -28.1 -39.7

630 400 165 555 370

-60 -50 -35 -20 -30

-8.7 -11.1 -17.5 -3.5 -7.5

1,430 1,025 155 1,250 615

-90 10 -90 -120 -65

-5.9 1.0 -36.7 -8.8 -9.6

Warrington South Warwick and Leamington Washington and Sunderland West Watford Waveney

E E E E E

1,636 1,111 2,751 1,727 2,079

-470 -307 -572 -394 -733

-22.3 -21.7 -17.2 -18.6 -26.1

2.9% 2.2% 6.2% 2.8% 4.5%

402 507 106 417 229

330 270 960 335 635

-255 -95 -170 -195 -280

-43.6 -26.0 -15.0 -36.8 -30.6

330 190 425 345 335

5 -40 -95 -10 -120

1.5 -17.4 -18.3 -2.8 -26.4

455 290 910 450 700

-40 -60 -60 -30 -75

-8.1 -17.1 -6.2 -6.3 -9.7

Wealden Weaver Vale Wellingborough Wells Welwyn Hatfield

E E E E E

661 1,803 2,228 942 1,416

-186 -453 -583 -244 -302

-22.0 -20.1 -20.7 -20.6 -17.6

1.4% 4.1% 4.1% 1.9% 2.7%

622 278 266 548 434

205 460 570 245 330

-20 -150 -190 -75 -125

-8.9 -24.6 -25.0 -23.4 -27.5

145 330 440 200 290

-50 -50 -70 -50 -25

-25.6 -13.2 -13.7 -20.0 -7.9

155 555 770 170 360

-25 -85 -20 -70 -55

-13.9 -13.3 -2.5 -29.2 -13.3

Wentworth and Dearne West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine West Bromwich East West Bromwich West West Dorset

E S E E E

2,692 330 3,204 3,505 478

-495 -113 -573 -685 -170

-15.5 -25.5 -15.2 -16.3 -26.2

5.9% 0.7% 7.8% 8.1% 1.1%

124 650 47 39 641

850 80 815 1,040 135

-290 -30 -300 -280 -45

-25.4 -27.3 -26.9 -21.2 -25.0

420 80 600 585 125

0 -25 0 -30 -25

0.0 -23.8 0.0 -4.9 -16.7

915 50 1,275 1,295 70

5 -35 -35 -170 -10

0.5 -41.2 -2.7 -11.6 -12.5

West Dunbartonshire West Ham West Lancashire West Suffolk West Tyrone

S E E E N

3,177 5,247 1,650 1,260 3,679

-478 -1,165 -313 -425 -11

-13.1 -18.2 -15.9 -25.2 -0.3

7.1% 6.4% 3.6% 2.1% 9.2%

69 96 325 511 23

810 1,155 465 360 955

-165 -410 -140 -75 -85

-16.9 -26.2 -23.1 -17.2 -8.2

570 895 265 240 655

-15 -75 -30 -90 120

-2.6 -7.7 -10.2 -27.3 22.4

1,030 1,595 415 315 1,100

-155 -265 -45 -35 40

-13.1 -14.2 -9.8 -10.0 3.8

West Worcestershire Westminster North Westmorland and Lonsdale Weston-Super-Mare Wigan

E E E E E

932 2,194 387 1,806 2,579

-313 -708 -160 -583 -896

-25.1 -24.4 -29.3 -24.4 -25.8

2.2% 3.7% 0.9% 3.6% 5.1%

502 310 648 320 190

245 365 85 460 605

-130 -180 -35 -165 -435

-34.7 -33.0 -29.2 -26.4 -41.8

205 430 80 365 485

-30 -65 -40 -80 -5

-12.8 -13.1 -33.3 -18.0 -1.0

240 790 70 510 905

-15 -90 0 -125 -70

-5.9 -10.2 0.0 -19.7 -7.2

Wimbledon Winchester Windsor Wirral South Wirral West

E E E E E

858 594 857 818 855

-182 -215 -152 -265 -195

-17.5 -26.6 -15.1 -24.5 -18.6

1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7%

596 631 594 473 435

145 120 155 285 285

-60 -85 -65 -115 -70

-29.3 -41.5 -29.5 -28.8 -19.7

175 135 195 165 145

-15 -35 -15 -45 -40

-7.9 -20.6 -7.1 -21.4 -21.6

220 110 195 200 190

-30 0 -15 -20 -20

-12.0 0.0 -7.1 -9.1 -9.5

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 27

Table 1: JSA claimant levels and rates by constituency, October 2013 Total JSA claimants Oct-13

United Kingdom

Claimant rate

Annual change level %

Oct-13

1,268,751

-278,674

-18.0

4.0%

Rank 1=highest

Oct-13

JSA claimants by age 18-24 50 and over Annual change Oct-13 Annual change level % level %

Claims of duration over 12 months Oct-13 Annual change level %

332,175

-103,825

-23.8

224,930

-23,055

-9.3

395,300

-33,860

-7.9

Witham Witney Woking Wokingham Wolverhampton North East

E E E E E

1,107 703 842 613 3,863

-304 -132 -260 -310 -523

-21.5 -15.8 -23.6 -33.6 -11.9

2.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 9.2%

464 630 607 640 25

305 190 160 115 1,100

-120 -60 -105 -95 -230

-28.2 -24.0 -39.6 -45.2 -17.3

240 145 185 120 605

-20 10 -35 -75 -40

-7.7 7.4 -15.9 -38.5 -6.2

310 120 155 130 1,490

-90 -10 -20 -35 -40

-22.5 -7.7 -11.4 -21.2 -2.6

Wolverhampton South East Wolverhampton South West Worcester Workington Worsley and Eccles South

E E E E E

4,132 3,297 1,759 1,453 2,793

-544 -228 -469 -386 -630

-11.6 -6.5 -21.1 -21.0 -18.4

10.2% 8.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.7%

10 40 356 304 137

1,185 825 455 445 850

-215 -145 -160 -140 -170

-15.4 -14.9 -26.0 -23.9 -16.7

655 595 335 230 450

-50 20 -85 -25 -65

-7.1 3.5 -20.2 -9.8 -12.6

1,585 1,230 505 530 840

-40 -20 -35 -10 -150

-2.5 -1.6 -6.5 -1.9 -15.2

Worthing West Wrexham Wycombe Wyre and Preston North Wyre Forest

E W E E E

1,061 1,665 1,615 593 1,923

-440 -181 -399 -121 -263

-29.3 -9.8 -19.8 -16.9 -12.0

2.4% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 4.0%

469 216 410 621 284

245 455 385 165 510

-125 -70 -200 -55 -105

-33.8 -13.3 -34.2 -25.0 -17.1

240 285 325 125 375

-70 25 -55 5 -45

-22.6 9.6 -14.5 4.2 -10.7

270 485 475 115 505

-90 45 -30 -20 20

-25.0 10.2 -5.9 -14.8 4.1

Wythenshawe and Sale East Yeovil Ynys Mon York Central York Outer

E E W E E

3,241 1,027 1,766 1,582 613

-421 -229 -111 -689 -183

-11.5 -18.2 -5.9 -30.3 -23.0

6.1% 1.9% 5.6% 2.8% 1.3%

111 544 149 419 623

905 320 465 375 155

-175 -120 -55 -190 -50

-16.2 -27.3 -10.6 -33.6 -24.4

515 195 375 255 130

0 -15 35 -80 -25

0.0 -7.1 10.3 -23.9 -16.1

990 165 670 430 125

-25 -45 35 -190 -30

-2.5 -21.4 5.5 -30.6 -19.4

North East North West Yorkshire and The Humber

75,698 159,433 134,146

-17,997 -37,000 -26,006

-19.2 -18.8 -16.2

6.1% 4.6% 5.2%

22,450 43,150 37,630

-6,815 -15,025 -10,565

-23.3 -25.8 -21.9

12,330 26,795 21,555

-1,925 -2,290 -1,905

-13.5 -7.9 -8.1

27,550 47,845 46,275

-1,645 -4,695 -1,160

-5.6 -8.9 -2.4

East Midlands West Midlands East

83,582 135,084 88,917

-21,021 -25,947 -22,258

-20.1 -16.1 -20.0

3.7% 5.0% 3.0%

23,890 36,490 23,165

-7,360 -10,870 -8,005

-23.6 -23.0 -25.7

14,485 23,105 16,855

-2,365 -1,900 -2,345

-14.0 -7.6 -12.2

26,385 45,520 25,755

-1,205 -3,290 -3,695

-4.4 -6.7 -12.5

London South East South West

183,189 104,385 66,773

-41,612 -29,450 -18,224

-18.5 -22.0 -21.4

4.3% 2.4% 2.6%

37,590 25,650 18,345

-12,915 -9,675 -6,260

-25.6 -27.4 -25.4

34,440 21,010 12,615

-3,095 -3,555 -2,070

-8.2 -14.5 -14.1

58,200 27,330 16,740

-7,390 -5,145 -3,665

-11.3 -15.8 -18.0

1,031,207 65,853 111,572 60,119

-239,515 -12,928 -22,882 -3,349

-18.8 -16.4 -17.0 -5.3

3.9% 4.6% 4.2% 7.1%

268,360 19,630 28,245 15,940

-87,490 -5,380 -8,655 -2,300

-24.6 -21.5 -23.5 -12.6

183,185 10,790 20,130 10,825

-21,460 -715 -1,695 815

-10.5 -6.2 -7.8 8.1

321,600 20,165 34,525 19,010

-31,890 -850 -3,870 2,745

-9.0 -4.0 -10.1 16.9

England Wales Scotland Northern Ireland

Some new jobseekers are omitted from the claimant count figures, following the commencement of the Universal Credit Pathfinder. More details are given in Section 4. 28

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

4

Information about sources, methods and copyright

4.1

Sources and copyright

The original source for all data in this paper is the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Changes over time, rankings and the ‘claimant rate’ have been calculated by the Library. The specific source for data is shown below: •

JSA claimant count: non-seasonally adjusted data, downloaded from NOMIS: https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/. As unemployment has a seasonal pattern, comparisons should be made using the same month in each year. Data for constituencies are available from 2004 onwards.

•

Claimant rate is the number of claimants as a proportion of the resident economically active population aged 16 to 64, as estimated by the Library (see section 4.2 for more details). These rates are higher than the population-based rates published by ONS on the NOMIS site: the Library’s claimant rates are the percentage of the economically active population in this age range rather than the whole population in the age range (as used by ONS).

•

Age and duration breakdowns for JSA claimants are also available from NOMIS.

•

Statistics on Jobcentre Plus vacancies (formerly shown in Table 2 of this research paper) are no longer published at a constituency level. The final month for which data were released was November 2012. DWP introduced a new job search service, Universal Jobmatch, on 19 November 2012 but owing to the design of the service, it currently cannot be used to make comparisons between numbers of vacancies and the claimant count.

The denominators used in this paper are partly derived from the 2001 Census and the 2011 Census. Census data for England and Wales are published by the Office for National Statistics. Census data for Scotland are published by the National Records for Scotland (formerly the General Register Office for Scotland). Census data for Northern Ireland are published by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency. Census data are © Crown copyright. Denominators are also derived in part from the Office for National Statistics Annual Population Survey (NOMIS database) © Crown copyright. The source of the data on claimant count and population levels contained in this publication is the Office for National Statistics National Statistics (NOMIS database) © Crown copyright. All mapping is © Ordnance Survey and Ordnance Survey Northern Ireland and must not be reproduced without permission 4.2

Unemployment rate methodology

The claimant rate shown in this paper is calculated by the Library and shows the number of claimants as a proportion of the estimated economically active population aged 16-64 in each constituency in 2011. The ONS publishes a different rate alongside the claimant count data, which uses the resident population aged 16-64 in mid-2010. The ‘ONS rate’ is the rate used in Written Answers. Following the release of Census data for constituencies in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, the Library has revised the methodology used to calculate the rates shown in this paper. New estimates for the denominators (the economically active population aged 16-64)

29

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

have been obtained using Census data on the age structure of the population and the economically active population aged 16-74, in combination with Annual Population Survey data on economic activity by age and region. The new methodology was introduced in the February 2013 edition of Unemployment by Constituency. In previous editions, the denominators were estimated from 2001 Census data on economic activity and mid-2008 population estimates. For many constituencies in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, the economically active population has increased substantially since 2001. The change in methodology then means the claimant rate shown in this paper is lower than that shown in editions prior to February 2013. However, for some other constituencies, mid-year population estimates overstated the population aged 16-64 compared to the 2011 Census and in these cases the change in methodology will result in a higher claimant rate. Census data for Westminster parliamentary constituencies in Scotland are yet to be released. Therefore estimates of the economically active population aged 16-64 for Scottish constituencies have been obtained from mid-2011 population estimates, 2001 Census data on economic activity, and Annual Population Survey data on the total active population aged 16-64 in Scotland in 2011. Where constituencies have seen major demographic shifts or socio-economic changes (and growth in economic activity does not mirror that of Scotland as a whole), the methodology will be less accurate. The claimant rates included in this month’s paper are not comparable with the rates shown in editions of Unemployment by Constituency prior to February 2013. Further details of the methodology used to calculate rates are provided in Library standard note, Unemployment by constituency: changes in methodology, 2013. The Library will continue to make improvements to denominators as new Census results are released. The rates presented here should be regarded more as a social measure of relative deprivation than as an economic measure of the mismatch between the supply of and demand for labour, as they take no account of people’s ability to seek work outside the constituency in which they live. 4.3

Notes and abbreviations

Changes in benefit rules and welfare to work schemes affect the number of people claiming Jobseekers Allowance. These include: •

Following the commencement of the Universal Credit pathfinder on 29 April 2013, some new jobseekers are claiming Universal Credit rather than Jobseeker’s Allowance. This applies to new jobseekers attending Ashton-under-Lyne jobcentre in Tameside from 29 April 2013; Wigan Jobcentre from 1 July 2013; Oldham Jobcentre and Warrington Jobcentre from 29 July 2013. These jobseekers are not included in the claimant count. As a result, the claimant count will understate the total number of jobseekers in the constituencies affected, the North West and the UK. ONS is working with DWP to include jobseekers claiming Universal Credit within the claimant count statistics “at the earliest opportunity”. Further information is provided on the ONS website.

•

From late-2008 to mid-2011, and from May 2012, changes in eligibility rules resulted in fewer lone parents (mostly women) being able to claim Lone Parent Income Support. This led to more lone parents claiming Jobseekers Allowance while they looked for work.

•

From April 2011, reassessments of Incapacity Benefit claimants have led to some people being declared ineligible for disability benefits. Some will then claim Jobseekers 30

RESEARCH PAPER 13/63

Allowance instead. ONS suggest that the effect of this on monthly changes to the claimant count is likely to be small. •

Since 2010, changes in the way benefits are paid to certain individuals on welfare-to-work programmes have affected the number of long-term claimants of JSA, particularly for young people. Previously, some individuals were moved from claiming JSA on to a Training Allowance when on certain schemes; once they finished the scheme they returned to JSA (if they remained unemployed) but were counted as a new claimant, thereby breaking the original claim’s duration. Since 2011, many fewer people have been moved from JSA to a Training Allowance. This has resulted in the statistics showing a higher number of longer-term JSA claimants. A DWP note, The effect of policy changes on the youth claimant count, gives more details.

The following notes should be borne in mind when drawing conclusions from the maps: •

The maps on pages 5-7 show residence-based claimant count rates for October 2013 for constituencies in the United Kingdom, with an expanded view of constituencies in selected major conurbations and surrounding areas.

•

The map on page 8 shows the percentage change in residence-based claimant count levels between October 2012 and October 2013 for constituencies in the United Kingdom.

•

In both maps the constituencies in the United Kingdom have been divided into five equally sized bands, also known as ‘quintile groups’, each of which contain approximately 130 constituencies (20% of the total in the United Kingdom). The range in each group is shown on the map, but these ranges are not equal.

•

Note also that constituencies with rates near the boundaries of these quintiles will be coloured differently even though their unemployment rates may only differ slightly from those in another, neighbouring quintile group.

•

Considering the percentage change does not take account of the absolute level of claimants by constituency. Constituencies with relatively low absolute numbers of claimants could see high percentage changes and vice versa.

31